The new Fox News poll of the West Virginia Senate race has Republican businessman John Raese holding on to a narrow lead against Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin.
The numbers: Raese 48%, Manchin 46%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3% margin of error. In the previous Fox poll from last week, Raese led by a similar 48%-45%.
This race has been neck and neck, as two factors compete against each other: Manchin’s profile as a relatively conservative Democrat and his very high approval rating as governor, at 69% in this particular poll, compared to President Obama’s similarly high disapproval in this state, which is at 65% in this survey.
The TPM Poll Average currently gives Manchin an edge of just 46.7%-46.5%.
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
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