TPMDC

Mason-Dixon Poll: Rand Paul Ahead By 5 In KY-SEN

KY Senate candidate Rand Paul (R)

Republican Rand Paul has a slim lead over Democrat Jack Conway in the latest public poll to come out of the Kentucky Senate race. Conducted by respected pollster Mason-Dixon, the poll shows Paul leading the race 48-43.

This is the first Mason-Dixon poll of the Kentucky Senate race. The survey of likely voters was conducted Monday and Tuesday, at the high point of Conway’s Aqua Buddha kerfuffle, produced when the Democrat ran an ad calling out Paul for alleged shenanigans while he was an undergraduate at Baylor University.

Other recent polling has shown Paul ahead as well, but has also shown Conway with the momentum heading into the final days of the campaign. The TPM Poll Average shows Paul ahead 47.1-42.6.

Trendlines show the race narrowing as the end approaches:

2010 elections, Jack Conway, KY-SEN, Polls, Rand Paul, Senate '10
Evan McMorris-Santoro

Evan McMorris-Santoro has covered politics for TPM since 2009. Before that, he was a reporter at National Journal’s Hotline covering election 2008. He started his career covering local politics at newspapers in TN and his native NC.

Editor & Publisher

Josh Marshall

Managing Editor

David Kurtz

Senior Associate Editor

Paul Werdel

Associate Editor

Sara Libby

Assistant Editor

Igor Bobic

Reporters

Brian Beutler

Carl Franzen

Sahil Kapur

Eric Kleefeld

Eric Lach

Nick Martin

Evan McMorris-Santoro

Ryan J. Reilly

Benjy Sarlin

Front Page Editor

David Taintor

Poll Editor

Kyle Leighton

News Writer

Pema Levy

Video Editor

Michael Lester

Polling Fellow

Tom Kludt

Video Fellow

Clayton Ashley

Publishing Fellow

Christopher O’Driscoll

Research Interns

Michael Brooks

Publishing Intern

Miles Read

General Manager & General Counsel

Millet Israeli

VP, Ad Sales

Mary Cadwallader

Bob Edmunds

Bruce Ellerstein

Waldo Tibbetts

Manager, Ad Operations and Sales Support

Versha Sharma

Deputy Publisher

Callie Schweitzer

Director of Technology

Eric Buth

Designer/Developer

Ni Mu

Matthew Wozniak

Tech Fellow

Dennis Cahillane