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Polls: Toomey Leads Sestak In PA-SEN — But By How Much?

Pennsylvania Senate candidates Pat Toomey (R) and Joe Sestak (D)

Two new polls of the Pennsylvania Senate race both put Republican Pat Toomey ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak, but by very different margins, and with different levels of undecided voters.

The new Marist poll: Toomey 52%, Sestak 45%. The survey of likely voters has a ±5% margin of error. In the previous Marist poll from a month ago, Toomey led by 51%-42%.

In today’s Muhlenberg daily tracking poll: Toomey 45%, Sestak 43%. In yesterday’s tracking poll — which overlaps this one by three days out of the four-day sample — Toomey’s lead was a stronger 47%-42%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.5% margin of error.

The TPM Poll Average gives Toomey a lead of 48.0%-43.6%.

2010 elections, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Polls, Senate '10
Eric Kleefeld

Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.

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