The new Rasmussen poll of the Pennsylvania Senate race has Republican Pat Toomey maintaining a narrow lead against Democrat Joe Sestak.
The numbers: Toomey 50%, Sestak 46%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4% margin of error. In the previous Rasmussen poll from last week, Toomey led by 48%-44%.
From the pollster’s analysis:
The recent tightening of the race comes from an increase in support for Sestak, while Toomey’s support remains fairly steady. Sestak’s support is now at its highest level since mid-May, following a brief bounce after his Democratic Primary win over incumbent Senator Arlen Specter.
At the same time, the latest results mark the first time Toomey has reached 50% since polling of the race began in February. Prior to today’s release, Toomey has earned 42% to 49% support since February, while Sestak has picked up 36% to 46% of the vote.
The TPM Poll Average gives Toomey a lead of 46.7%-43.8%.
Eric Kleefeld
Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.
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