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PPP Poll: Pawlenty Trails Obama In Minnesota — And Romney Does Better

Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) and President Barack Obama

The new survey of Minnesota from Public Policy Polling (D) finds President Obama leading various potential Republican challengers for 2012 — including the state’s departing governor, Tim Pawlenty. And not only that, but this poll has an extra-bad data point for Pawlenty. Mitt Romney actually does better in Minnesota than Minnesota’s governor.

Obama carried Minnesota by a 54%-44% margin against John McCain in 2008. The state has not voted Republican at the presidential level since the Nixon landslide of 1972. It was the only state to vote for its Democratic native son Walter Mondale in the Reagan landslide of 1984, but in fact he won it only narrowly.

In this poll, Obama leads Newt Gingrich by 51%-38%, leads Mike Huckabee by 50%-40%, and trounces Sarah Palin by 54%-36%. As it turns out, he leads Pawlenty by 51%-43%, but only leads Romney by 47%-42%.

The poll also gives Pawlenty an approval rating of only 43%, with a disapproval of 53%.

As PPP’s Tom Jensen writes, Pawlenty himself could be one of the reasons for Democrat Mark Dayton’s narrow win in the gubernatorial race in the middle of a very Republican year:

The importance of Pawlenty’s unpopularity shouldn’t be underestimated in Democrats picking up the Minnesota Governor’s office this year in an otherwise dreadful year for the party. While Democratic Gubernatorial candidates in many states were having to deal with the weight of an unpopular President and an unpopular Democratic Governor Mark Dayton benefited by having the impact of an an unpopular President at least partially balanced out by his opponent having to deal with the weight of an unpopular Republican Governor.

The survey of registered voters has a ±3.2% margin of error.

2010 elections, 2012 elections, Barack Obama, MN-Pres, Mark Dayton, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polls, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty
Eric Kleefeld

Eric Kleefeld joined TPM as an intern for the final months of the 2006 midterm elections, and then kept showing up for work. His other interests include guitars, old comic books and the politics of various English-speaking countries.

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