TPMDC

Emanuel Could Win Chicago Mayor’s Race On First Ballot

Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel’s toughest vote in the Chicago mayoral race may be behind him. Since the Illinois Supreme Court overruled an appellate court and placed Emanuel back on the ballot, new polls show him dominating the field and hovering around the 50% threshold needed to avoid a runoff election.

In a Tribune/WGN poll released today, 49% of Chicagoans said they intended to vote for Emanuel, giving him an enormous 30 point lead on his closest challenger, Gery Chico, the former Chicago Board of Education president. A survey conducted by Chicago’s ABC affiliate pegged Emanuel’s support even higher, as it found him leading Chico by 40 points, 54% to 14%.

A candidate must receive at least half of the vote to win the February 22 election outright. If no candidate reaches that threshold, the top two vote-getters will face off in a special election in April.

Should the election head to a run off, it would be the latest twist in what has already been a wild election.

Emanuel resigned as President Obama’s chief of staff specifically to move back to Chicago and run for what he’s said is his dream job. Yet his opponents, citing a law that requires candidates to be residents of the city for a year prior to the election, argued that Emanuel was ineligible to run since he’d been living in Washington while serving in the Obama administration.

After months of legal wrangling, a lower court initially ruled in Emanuel’s favor. Yet that decision was then overruled by an appellate court, sending the Emanuel campaign scrambling to reinstate his name with only weeks until the election. The state Supreme Court immediately took up the case, overturning the appeals court’s decision in a sharply worded ruling that placed Emanuel back on the ballot.

2011 Elections, Chicago Mayor, Rahm Emanuel, chicago

Editor & Publisher

Josh Marshall

Managing Editor

David Kurtz

Senior Associate Editor

Paul Werdel

Associate Editor

Sara Libby

Assistant Editor

Igor Bobic

Reporters

Brian Beutler

Carl Franzen

Sahil Kapur

Eric Kleefeld

Eric Lach

Nick Martin

Evan McMorris-Santoro

Ryan J. Reilly

Benjy Sarlin

Front Page Editor

David Taintor

Poll Editor

Kyle Leighton

News Writer

Pema Levy

Video Editor

Michael Lester

Polling Fellow

Tom Kludt

Video Fellow

Clayton Ashley

Publishing Fellow

Christopher O’Driscoll

Research Interns

Michael Brooks

Publishing Intern

Miles Read

General Manager & General Counsel

Millet Israeli

VP, Ad Sales

Mary Cadwallader

Bob Edmunds

Bruce Ellerstein

Waldo Tibbetts

Manager, Ad Operations and Sales Support

Versha Sharma

Deputy Publisher

Callie Schweitzer

Director of Technology

Eric Buth

Designer/Developer

Ni Mu

Matthew Wozniak

Tech Fellow

Dennis Cahillane