TPMDC

Poll: With Huckabee And Trump Out, Romney And Palin Rise In GOP Primary

Former Governors Mitt Romney (R-MA) and Sarah Palin (R-AK)

Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin received a boost to their presidential ambitions this week as voters who previously backed Mike Huckabee and Donald Trump went in search of alternatives now that each of the men has withdrawn from the presidential race, according to a Suffolk University poll released this week.

The poll was originally conducted before Huckabee and Trump withdrew, but the pollster went back to respondents who had initially supported those two, and found them breaking largely in favor of Romney and, to a slightly lesser extent, Palin.

In the first permutation, Romney led all GOPers at 17%, followed by Huckabee (15%), Palin (10%), Gingrich (9%), Rudy Giuliani (6%) and Trump (5%.)

Among those who switched their votes — not every person who initially supported Trump or Huckabee was reached a second time — 29% went to Romney, and 16% leapt to Palin. Ten percent also switched their support to Rudy Giuliani, while 20% said they had no second choice yet

After factoring in the results from the callbacks, Romney was at 20%, Palin rose to 12%, Gingrich was at 9%, and Giuliani came in at 7%.

Those upticks could be short lived rather than long-term indicators of what the loss of Huckabee and Trump will mean for the GOP field. Romney and Palin were perhaps the two most high profile names left on the list — along with Giuliani and Gingrich — so the boost may be due in part name recognition.

The Suffolk poll was conducted May 10-17 among 1,070 likely voters nationwide. It has a margin of error of 3.0%.

2012, 2012 Presidential Primaries, 2012 elections, Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Polls, Pres '12, Sarah Palin, Suffolk

Editor & Publisher

Josh Marshall

Managing Editor

David Kurtz

Senior Associate Editor

Paul Werdel

Associate Editor

Sara Libby

Assistant Editor

Igor Bobic

Reporters

Brian Beutler

Carl Franzen

Sahil Kapur

Eric Kleefeld

Eric Lach

Nick Martin

Evan McMorris-Santoro

Ryan J. Reilly

Benjy Sarlin

Front Page Editor

David Taintor

Poll Editor

Kyle Leighton

News Writer

Pema Levy

Video Editor

Michael Lester

Polling Fellow

Tom Kludt

Video Fellow

Clayton Ashley

Publishing Fellow

Christopher O’Driscoll

Research Interns

Michael Brooks

Publishing Intern

Miles Read

General Manager & General Counsel

Millet Israeli

VP, Ad Sales

Mary Cadwallader

Bob Edmunds

Bruce Ellerstein

Waldo Tibbetts

Manager, Ad Operations and Sales Support

Versha Sharma

Deputy Publisher

Callie Schweitzer

Director of Technology

Eric Buth

Designer/Developer

Ni Mu

Matthew Wozniak

Tech Fellow

Dennis Cahillane