TPMDC
Arlen Specter

Arlen Specter

Sestak Takes Aim At Specter For Blocking Key Obama Nominee


Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA)

Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) has found a new lever in his primary campaign against Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA). Sestak is hitting Specter for his early (and possibly continuing) opposition to the confirmation of Dawn Johnsen, whom President Obama nominated to head the Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel back in February.

"As the administration deals with crucial legal issues from interrogating and prosecuting terrorists to closing the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, Arlen Specter and Senate Republicans have decided to tie the President's hands by denying him a critical advisor," Sestak says in a new statement.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Dawn Johnsen, Harry Reid, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Roundup

TPMDC Sunday Roundup

Jarrett: Obama 'Not Demanding' Public Option
Appearing on Meet The Press, White House senior adviser Valerie Jarrett made it clear that President Obama is not demanding that a public option must be included in the health care bill: "He's not demanding that it's in there. He thinks it's the best possible choice. But I think, David [Gregory], let's not underestimate how much progress we've made. The fact that there's agreement on so much means that we are right on the brink of delivering for the American people, and that's a positive sign for our country."

Specter: GOP 'A Party Of Obstructionism' With No Plan
Appearing on Fox News Sunday, Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) blasted his former party: "On the Republican side, it is no, no, no -- a party of obstructionism. You have responsible Republicans who had been in the Senate -- like Howard Baker, Bob Dole, or Bill Frist -- who say Republicans ought to cooperate. Well, they're not cooperating ... Take a look at the absence of any Republican plan."

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Topics: Afghanistan, Arlen Specter, David Axelrod, Fox News, Health Care, John Kerry, Jon Kyl, Rahm Emanuel, Roundup, Valerie Jarrett

Sunday Shows

The Sunday Show Line-Ups


Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel

Here are the line-ups for the Sunday talk shows this weekend:

ABC, This Week: White House Senior Adviser David Axelrod.

CBS, Face The Nation: White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), Sen. John Kerry (D-MA), Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH).

CNN, State Of The Union: White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, Sen. John Kerry (D-MA).

Fox News Sunday: Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND), Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA), Sen. John Thune (R-SD), former Bush White House adviser Karl Rove, former DNC chairman Terry McAuliffe.

NBC, Meet The Press: White House Senior Adviser Valerie Jarrett, Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT), Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-AZ), California First Lady Maria Shriver, Center for American Progress president John Podesta.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Chris Dodd, David Axelrod, John Kerry, John Thune, Jon Kyl, Karl Rove, Kent Conrad, Rahm Emanuel, Sunday Shows, Terry McAuliffe

PA-SEN

Specter Leads Money Fight, Sestak Raises Money With Anita Hill


Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA)

Rep. Joe Sestak announced he raised $758,000 in third quarter today -- and immediately began his quest to raise more by questioning the commitment of his opponent, Sen. Arlen Specter, to women's rights.

Sestak's fundraising total was dwarfed by Specter's. The long-time incumbent and short-time Democrat Specter raised $1.8 million, thanks in no small part, according to the Lehigh Valley Morning Call, to a September fundraiser for Specter hosted by President Obama. Specter announced his fundraising totals on Wednesday.

But today, Sestak made it clear he's going to keep hitting Specter hard, despite the fundraising mismatch.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN

PA-SEN

Poll: Specter Barely Leads Sestak In Dem Primary


Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA)

The new Rasmussen poll of Pennsylvania finds Sen. Arlen Specter just barely ahead of his Democratic primary challenger, Rep. Joe Sestak.

The numbers: Specter 46%, Sestak 42%, with a ±3% margin of error. In early August, Specter had been ahead by 47%-34%. Sestak has been challenging Specter -- who switched form the Republicans to the Democrats in order to avoid certain defeat in the GOP primary -- on the grounds that he's not a real Democrat, and both of them have been moving noticeably to the left (though Specter has logically taken a greater journey, given his starting point as a moderate Republican).

In the general election match-ups, Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey leads Specter by 45%-40%, while Sestak edges out Toomey 38%-37%, with a ±3% margin of error.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate '10

PA-SEN

Poll: Specter In Serious Danger On Re-Election


Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R-PA) and Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA)

A new Susquehanna poll has some awful numbers for Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA), with him stuck in a dead heat for re-election -- and a huge majority of the state's voters saying he doesn't deserve re-election.

Only 31% of voters said Specter should be re-elected, with 59% saying someone else should be given a chance. It's not surprising to learn that Specter has a large base of opposition -- after all, he switched from the Republicans to the Democrats in order to avoid defeat in the GOP primary at the hands of former Rep. Pat Toomey -- but that's quite bad.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

In Heated Primary, Sestak, Specter Seek Liberal Ground

On May 8th--long before Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) made his primary challenge to Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) official--I wrote that "as long as Sestak's running, or threatening to run, both men will feel the incentive to move left. That's good news for progressives on its own, and even better if the brinksmanship results in a sort of political positive feedback loop, where each candidate does his best to prove himself more liberal than the other."

Soon after that--in his first weeks as a Democrat after nearly 30 Republican years--Specter began taking baby steps to the left. But as time has gone on, the extent to which the two men have indeed attempted to outdo each other by taking more and more progressive stances has become fairly comical.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Climate Change, Democrats, EFCA, Health Care, House of Representatives, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Public Option, Senate, Senate '10

PA-SEN

Biden To Raise Money For Specter


Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA)

Vice President Joe Biden will be headed to Pennsylvania later this month, to raise money for Sen. Arlen Specter.

Specter announced the event, set for October 19, in an e-mail to his supporter list. He also quotes Biden:

Earlier this year, Vice President Biden welcomed me to the Democratic Party, saying:

"[Arlen's] independence, integrity, and piercing intellect will continue to be a tremendous asset to the people of Pennsylvania, and now, to the Democratic caucus in the Senate."

(Emphasis in the original.)

Specter faces a primary challenge from Rep. Joe Sestak, who is attacking Specter for his prior history as a Republican, and is arguing that Specter is not a genuine Democrat. Look for Biden to say a lot of great things about how much Specter has contributed to the Democratic cause over the last six months.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Biden, PA-SEN, Senate '10

Joe Sestak

Toomey Raises Over $1.5 Million In Third Quarter


Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R-PA) and Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA)

An impressive haul from Republican Pat Toomey, who's running for Arlen Specter's Senate seat in Pennsylvania. $1.5 million in the third quarter.

According to a press release announcing the total, Toomey has raised over $3.1 million from over 20,000 contributors since he announced his Senate candidacy five and a half months ago--that's more contributors than he had in all of 2004, when he last challenged Specter.

Still no word on fundraising totals for Specter, or his primary rival Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA). Sestak came out strong in the second quarter, and has been ramping up his attacks on the 30-year-Republican-turned-Democrat. But Specter has been enjoying the support of the party establishment, and his totals will reflect the fundraising prowess of President Obama, Vice President Joe Biden, and many other Democratic celebrities.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Sestak Launches Site Tying Specter To Palin

As I reported yesterday, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) is putting the screws to his primary opponent, incumbent Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) by launching a website tying Specter to his 30 year record as a Republican.

The site, which bares a non-coincidental resemblance to Specters actual campaign site, has since gone live; you visit it here. Perhaps most damningly, it includes one image tying Specter to liberal bete noir Sarah Palin.

A letter from the Sestak campaign warns, "This election, Pennsylvania will have a choice between a principled, accountable leader for the next generation or two long-time Republicans." (Whoever wins the Democratic Senate primary will face conservative Pat Toomey in the general election.)

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Sarah Palin, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

New Sestak Site to Hit "The Real Specter" as a 30-Year Republican

Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) probably saw this one coming. His primary challenger, Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA), plans to launch a new website called TheRealSpecter2010.com highlighting Specter's 30-year career as a Republican, his support for the McCain-Palin ticket, and his early (though now reversed) opposition to a number of Democratic policies, including a public health insurance option.

The site will feature the below video, which compares statements Specter made earlier this year with those of the Democrats' likely Republican challenger Pat Toomey:

Sestak has taken shots at Specter for his Republican past before, but it's shaping up to be one of the key themes of his campaign going forward.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Public Option, Senate, Senate '10

Afghanistan

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Obama Meets With McChrystal
President Obama met today with Gen. Stanley McChrystal, the head of American and NATO troops in Afghanistan. McChrystal flew to Copenhagen from London, and the two met for 25 minutes on Air Force One.

Obama's Day: Campaigning For The Olympics
President Obama arrived in Copenhagen at 2:10 a.m. ET (8:10 a.m. local time). He delivered remarks at the Chicago 2016 presentation at 2:50 a.m. ET, and he and other Chicago 2016 panel members participated in a 3:40 a.m. ET question and answer session with IOC members. Obama and the First Lad attended an informal IOC reception at 4 a.m. ET, and they were greeted at 4:45 a.m. ET by Queen Margrethe II and Prince Consort Henrik. Obama met at 5:20 a.m. ET with Danish Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen. They departed from Copenhagen at 6:55 a.m. ET, and are scheduled to arrive back at the White House at 3:30 p.m. ET. Obama will deliver brief remarks at 4 p.m. ET.

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Topics: Afghanistan, Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, John McCain, NRCC, Olympics, PA-SEN, Senate '10, Stanley McChrystal, Tim Pawlenty

PA-SEN

Poll: Toomey Narrowly Leading Specter And Sestak


Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R-PA) and Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA)

The new Quinnipiac poll of Pennsylvania has some good news for Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey, with him edging out both Democratic Sen. Arlen Specter and Dem primary challenger Rep. Joe Sestak.

In a match-up with Specter, Toomey has 43% support to Specter's 42%. These two guys have been enemies for years, since Toomey narrowly lost in his 2004 Republican primary challenge to the then-GOPer Specter -- and his primary challenge this time around spurred Specter into switching to the Democrats.

Against Sestak, Toomey has 38% to Sestak's 35%. Both results are within the ±3% margin of error.

Also, Specter leads Sestak in the Democratic primary, but is below the crucial 50% mark: Specter 44%, Sestak 25%.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey

Barack Obama

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Obama Privately Calls Kanye West A Jackass; ABC Apologizes For Publishing It
During an interview with CNBC, President Obama called Kanye West a "jackass" for his behavior at the MTV Video Music Awards -- which ABC News then published on Twitter, even though that was intended to have been an off-the-record comment. ABC has now apologized: "This was done before our editorial process had been completed. That was wrong. We apologize to the White House and CNBC and are taking steps to ensure that it will not happen again."

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will depart form the White House at 9 a.m. ET, arriving at 10:15 a.m. ET at Youngstown-Warren Regional Airport in Ohio. At 10:40 a.m. ET, he will host a roundtable discussion with workers at the Lordstown Complex General Motors Plant in Warren, Ohio, and he will deliver remarks on the economy at 11:10 a.m. ET. He will depart from Warren at 11:50 a.m. ET, arriving at 12:20 p.m. ET in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He will speak at 1:40 p.m. ET at the AFL-CIO Convention, then leave at 2:45 p.m. ET for Philadelphia. At 4:10 p.m. ET, he will speak at a fundraiser for Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA), and also at another Specter fundraiser at 6 p.m. ET. He will depart form Philadelphia International Airpot at 6:55 p.m. ET, arriving back at the White House at 7:55 p.m. ET.

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Topics: ACORN, Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Health Care, Iraq, Joe Biden, Joe Wilson, PA-SEN, Senate '10, Ted Kennedy

Barack Obama

Report: 17 Senate Dem. Caucus Members Called to White House to Discuss Health Care


President Barack Obama

ABC News is reporting that President Obama has summoned 17 members of the Senate Democratic caucus--most of whom have expressed some degree of skepticism over President Obama's health care plan--to the White House for a meeting late this afternoon.

The members are: Sens. Mark Pryor (D-AR), Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), Mark Warner (D-VA), Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Mary Landrieu (D-LA), Evan Bayh (D-IN), Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Tom Carper (D-DE), Arlen Specter (D-PA), Mark Begich (D-AK), Mark Udall (D-CO), Michael Bennet (D-CO), Ben Nelson (D-NE), Bill Nelson (D-FL), Kay Hagan (D-NC), Herb Kohl (D-WI), Joe Lieberman (I-CT).

We'll be on the lookout for developments.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Bill Clinton, Bill Nelson, Blanche Lincoln, Evan Bayh, Health Care, Kay Hagan, Mary Landrieu, Senate, White House

Arlen Specter

Specter, Sestak Vie to Demonstrate Great Support for Public Option

Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) wants there to be no doubt: "[T]his member of congress, this United States senator is going to tell [President Obama] emphatically that we need the public option," Specter said.

As a Republican, and in his first days as a Democrat, Specter opposed the public option, but eventually came to the view that a public option should be included in health care reform, and now says the country 'needs' the public option.

His move to the left no doubt has something to do with the pressure he's facing from Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) who's challenging Specter in the Pennsylvania primary. Sestak has launched a petition calling on Congressional leaders to hold an up or down vote on the public option in both the House and the Senate.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Public Option, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

FEC Rules That Club For Growth Can Help Specter Donors Ask For Their Money Back

The Club For Growth now has official government permission to bedevil Arlen Specter in a very creative way.

The Federal Election Commission has granted the Club permission to send letters out to previous donors to Sen. Arlen Specter, the Republican-turned-Democrat who has been a huge enemy of the group ever since they helped organize a primary challenge against him by Pat Toomey in 2004.

The letters will remind donors that Specter promised he would return donations from before his party switch to anyone who asked, and include a preprinted form and envelope for making just that request. The Club will use the information from campaign finance reports to make their mailing list -- which normally cannot be used for fundraising, but is being allowed here because the Club isn't actually raising money for itself or for anybody else.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, PA-SEN, Senate '10

Pat Toomey

Toomey (Again) Bashes Specter, Accepts Sestak's Health Care Town Hall Challenge


Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R-PA)

Conservative Senate hopeful Pat Toomey and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) are just ally-ooping Sen. Arlen Specter.

Toomey has agreed to Sestak's suggestion that the two hold a joint town hall on health care in Toomey's home of Allentown.

"I eagerly accept Congressman Sestak's gracious invitation, and look forward to our respective campaigns working out the logistics over the next couple of days," Mr. Toomey said. "I'm happy to welcome Joe to the great city of Allentown and I'd extend to him an invitation to share a beer with me at one of our fine local establishments after the town hall meeting."

While I look forward to a substantive debate about honest differences with Congressman Sestak, I wish such an exchange was possible with Arlen Specter. Unfortunately, with Senator Specter, one never knows which Arlen Specter will show up--the May 2009 version who opposed a public health care option, or the August 2009 version who ardently supports it. Either way, I would be interested in having a similar discussion with Senator Specter and hereby extend to him an invitation to participate with me in a separate town hall meeting on health care.

Presumably, if the two hold a Beer SummitTM in Allentown, the point of order will be "How can we best take down Arlen Specter."

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey

Joe Sestak

Sestak Requests September 2 Joint Town Hall Health Care Forum With Toomey

Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA)--who's challenging Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) in the 2010 Pennsylvania Democratic Primary--isn't wasting any time: in fact, he's already trying to juxtapose himself against Republican Pat Toomey.

"[H]ow about a great town hall on health care?" Sestak asks in a statement released moments ago.

Does the evening of September 2nd, in your home town of Allentown at Muhlenberg College, work for you? We'll have a great discussion of the health care reform effort. I want to show you the light on the public health care option! What do you say?

Sestak's responding to a statement Toomey released yesterday: "I think Joe Sestak and I would agree that having a candid debate about honest policy differences is a refreshing change from attempting to interact with Arlen Specter, whose position changes by the day," Toomey said. "Pennsylvanians deserve the kind of straightforward and respectful dialogue about critical issues that Joe Sestak and I are prepared to give them."

I think it's fair to say that not only is Sestak signaling to voters that the general election might be between himself and Toomey. He's also affirming Toomey's extremely harsh criticism of Specter.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate, Senate '10

Joe Sestak

Sestak: I'd Have A Hard Time Voting For A Health Care Bill Without A Public Option

He left himself some wiggle room, but, in what appeared to be a challenge to Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA), Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) said he'd have a hard time voting for a health care bill without a public option.

Sestak is challenging Specter in the 2010 Democratic Pennsylvania primary.

Though Sestak said he could back something "similar" to a public option--a co-operative, for instance--he said that the co-ops that are on the table right now do not meet his criteria.

Specter now supports the creation of a public option, after having opposed it as a Republican and in his first days as a Democrat, but he hasn't drawn a line in the sand over the issue. Though progressive members of the Senate have been more reticent than their House counterparts about the importance of the public option, Sestak's statement does leave Specter an opening to stake out more liberal ground, and insist on one.

We'll have video for you shortly.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Public Option, Senate '10

Barack Obama

TPMDC Sunday Roundup

Obama On Death Panel Smear: "I Just Lost My Grandmother Last Year"
At his town hall meeting on health insurance reform yesterday, President Obama fired back at the "death panel" smear. "I just lost my grandmother last year. I know what it's like to watch somebody you love, who's aging, deteriorate and have to struggle with that," Obama said, attacking those who would put forward "the notion that somehow I ran for public office or members of Congress are in this so they can go around pulling the plug on grandma."

Sebelius: Death Panel Scare Attack Is "Horrific"
Appearing on This Week, of Sec. of Health and Human Services fired back at the "death panel" attack, -- but also conceded that end-of-life counseling is likely to be taken out of the bill. "And I think it's really horrific that some opponents of the health reform bill have used this painful, personal moment to try and scare people about what is in the bill," said Sebeilus.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Death Panels, Health Care, Kathleen Sebelius, Kent Conrad, Public Option, Robert Gibbs, Tom Coburn

Arlen Specter

Septuagenarian Twitter Flame War: Grassley Warns Specter He Never Said "Death Boards"

Earlier today, I reported that Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) planned to call his old friend Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) to admonish him that health care legislation will not result in the creation of death panels.

Well, Grassley never picked up. So Specter tweeted all about it.

And Grassley is not pleased.

And in a narrow sense, Grassley's right. He didn't use the term "death boards" or "death panels." He said "There is some fear because in the House bill, there is counseling for end-of-life. And from that standpoint, you have every right to fear.... We should not have a government program that determines if you're going to pull the plug on grandma."

But in the broader sense, Specter's got Grassley pegged.

And in the broadest sense, it's easy to imagine these guys starring in an Internet-themed sequel to Grumpier Old Men.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Chuck Grassley, Death Panels, Health Care, Twitter

Arlen Specter

Specter: I'll Call Up Grassley Today And Tell Him End Of Life Counseling "Not A Death Squad"

Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) just told a crowd of skeptical progressives that he's willing to take up and dispel the death panel rumor with perhaps its most respected proponent: Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA).

Specter said he'd call Grassley from back stage and tell him "it's not a death squad."

Progress. Earlier this week, Grassley endorsed the false rumor that Democrats were proposing a "pull the plug on granny" provision in their health care reform legislation, then turned around and scotched an end of life counseling measure the Senate Finance Committee's bill, alleging that it could be "misinterpreted" by the public.

Late update: Awwww. How sad. Seems Grassley didn't pick up the phone when Specter called him. Wonder if he got tipped off!

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Chuck Grassley, Death Panels, Health Care, Senate, Senate Finance Committee

Arlen Specter

Specter: I Expect To Vote For Cloture On Democratic Bills, Particularly EFCA

Just a quick data point. Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) fielded questions at a Netroots Nation panel this morning about whether he'd encourage his colleagues to support cloture on Democratic bills. Though he elided the specific question, he did say that, unless Democrats flew off the handle and began trying to limit the first amendment, or civil rights for gays, he will vote with the party to bring legislation to the floor for an up or down vote. Specifically, he said he'd support cloture on the Employee Free Choice Act, even if he disagrees with the underlying bill.

He's also recently assured labor organizers that they'd "like" how he votes on EFCA. Before he switched parties, and even for a while thereafter, he said exactly the opposite.

Late update: Specter also said that he never asked President Obama to clear the primary field for him.

Late late update: Here's video.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Democrats, EFCA, Senate

Arlen Specter

Poll: Sestak Gains On Specter, Both Men Still Lead Toomey

A new Research 2000 poll reaffirms what a separate Rasumussen poll found earlier this week: that in the last month Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) has made serious gains on his Pennsylvania Senate primary opponent, Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA).

Specter now leads Sestak 48-33 among likely voters. But that 15 point margin is down by 30 from May when Specter lead 56-11. And 40 percent of voters still don't know who Specter is.

Meanwhile, according to R2K, both men still lead Pat Toomey--Specter 45-40, and Sestak 42 41. Both men have lost ground in recent weeks, though. Specter was throttling Toomey 55-31, and Sestak enjoyed a more comfortable 37-32 margin three months ago.

Though Toomey's clearly gaining ground, Rasmussen recently found that Toomey had actually surpassed both of his potential rivals.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Rasmussen: Toomey Now Leads Specter, Sestak In Statewide Poll

There might be one beneficiary of the flame war between Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA): Republican Pat Toomey.

Whomever wins the Democratic Senate primary in Pennsylvania next year will battle Toomey in the general election, and now, for the first time, Toomey shows a lead over both men. A Rasmussen telephone survey of likely voters, released today, shows 48 percent would vote Toomey, 36 Specter if the election were held today. Four percent opt for a third option, and 12 are not sure.

Specter's taken a beating in recent months for switching parties at a crucial political moment, and though he enjoys extremely wide name recognition, the attacks seem to be taking their toll. But the situation's no better for Sestak, who until recently was also beating Toomey. Toomey now has a 43-35 lead over Sestak, down from June, when Sestak enjoyed a six point lead over Toomey.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Specter Dips Below 50 Percent Support In Pennsylvania Democratic Primary

Via Taegan Goddard, Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) is currently sitting on a 13 point lead over Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) in the 2010 Pennsylvania Senate primary. A big lead, to be sure, but one that's dipping rather quickly. In June, Specter's lead was significantly greater. At the time, according to Rasmussen, Specter led Sestak 51-32--a 19 point margin.

Now, the spread is 47-34, meaning, among other things, that his support among Pennsylvania Democrats has dipped under 50 percent for the first time since he switched parties.

According to Rasmussen, "Among voters who favor the congressional health care plan, Specter leads 55% to 26%. However, among those who oppose the plan, Sestak leads 61% to 25%." It's unclear how this divide emerged, but since support for reform among Democrats in the state is around 70 percent, don't be surprised if you see both candidates try to stake out the reformer position on health care.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Health Care

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Dem Talking Points: We Won't Kill Old People
The Hill reports that Senate Democrats have circulated a set of talking points, entitled "Responding to Opponents of Health Insurance Reform." One criticism that Dems are to rebut is, "The government will kill old people because they're too expensive to keep alive," responding that this is "outrageous and absolutely false."

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama and the First Lady will host a reception in the East Room at 10:15 a.m. ET, honoring Justice Sonia Sotomayor. At 3:10 p.m. ET, the President and First Lady will host the Medal of Freedom ceremony.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Chris Dodd, Health Care, Larry Summers, Social Security, Sonia Sotomayor, Supreme Court, Tea Party

Arlen Specter

Toomey: Town Halls Show "Political Extremism" -- Of The Democrats' Health Plan

Former Rep. Pat Toomey (R-PA), who is running for Senate in 2010, released this statement on the rough town hall experience today for his long-time nemesis, Democratic Sen. Arlen Specter:

Allentown, PA - The negative reaction Senator Arlen Specter received today at a town hall meeting on health care in Lebanon, PA is a demonstration of the growing frustration and concern shared by taxpayers across Pennsylvania.

"The health care plan Senator Specter supports reflects the kind of political extremism that results from complete Democratic control of Washington," said U.S. Senate candidate Pat Toomey. "Arlen Specter is giving the Democrats in Congress a blank check that will take us down the wrong path."

"People across Pennsylvania have real concerns about the cost and intrusiveness of the government-run health care plan Arlen Specter supports. They deserve reforms that will lower the cost of health care and give them more choices, not government control, higher taxes, and a larger deficit. If elected to the U.S. Senate, I will work tirelessly to find real solutions to our health care problems through increased choice, personal ownership, and competition."

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate '10, Tea Party

Arlen Specter

Town Hall Attendee Thanks Specter For Visiting The Republicans

A conservative heckler just got off a shot at Sen. Arlen Specter's (D-PA) town hall.

"I'd like to thank you for having the courage to come to this meeting, with the people who have sent you to Washington" the man said, with apparent sincerity, "the Republicans."

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Tea Party

Arlen Specter

Town Hall Attendee Tells Specter: "One Day, God's Gonna Stand Before You"

An angry man just confronted Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) at a town hall meeting in Lebanon, Pennsylvania.

The man was nearly in a physical fight with another attendee, and some shoving was involved. Specter calmed everyone down before it got out of hand, and then the man confronted the Senator with a speech about how he doesn't have the ability to influence his government like special interests in Washington do.

"One day, God's gonna stand before you," the man concluded. "And he's gonna judge you and the rest of your damn cronies up on the Hill -- and the rest of your damn cronies up on the hill -- and then you can get your just desserts."

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Tea Party

Arlen Specter

Sestak Officially Announces Candidacy, Will Challenge Specter For Senate Seat

It's official! (No, really! It is!)

Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) will make a bid for the Senate, challenging Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) in the 2010 Pennsylvania primary. Obviously, he's been working up to this morning's announcement for months, but it comes just weeks after his political campaign announced an impressive fundraising haul in the second quarter, allowing them to present what they believe will be a viable challenge to Specter, who will enjoy name recognition, and the backing of the Democratic party, but who became a Democrat just a few months ago after spending most of his career in the GOP.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Health Care

Teabaggers Try To Shout Down Health Care Reform At Town Halls

Angry teabaggers and other opponents of health care reform are heckling members of Congress at their town hall meetings back home in an effort to sway the debate and drown out reform supporters.

This weekend, a group of teabaggers showed up at a town hall in Philadelphia with Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius. They shouted and booed to drown out remarks from both officials and questions from the audience. The Philadelphia Tea Party Patriots reportedly brought 40 people. Watch:

In Austin on Saturday, protesters followed Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-TX) out of a forum at a grocery store, chanting "Just say no!" after he told the crowd he'd vote for a health care reform bill even if his constituents opposed it. Watch.

These aren't the first incidents of this kind, but we think it's a pretty safe bet they'll continue and intensify throughout August.

Rep. Tim Bishop (D-NY) has suspended town hall meetings after screaming protesters disrupted a June 22 forum in Long Island to the point where residents called the police to escort Bishop to his car.

Last week, a crowd erupted into thunderous applause after a soldier demanded an apology from Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) at a town hall with her staff. (The senator wasn't there.) The meeting was moderated by Americans for Prosperity's Missouri chapter. AFP was a major organizer of the tax day "tea party" protests.

Make sure to check out the teabaggers' strategy memo obtained by Think Progress.

Late update: We'll be adding more incidents as we track them down.

On July 6, Rep. Dan Maffei (D-NY) held a town hall meeting that devolved into a shouting match, with tea party protesters loudly interrupting whenever someone mentioned a public plan. Maffei threatened to break up the meeting, and has since said he plans to hold smaller, less publicized events with constituents.

Late late update: On Saturday, Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-PA) showed up to a restaurant, where he was supposed to hold one-on-one meetings with constituents, to find 150 angry people who demanded it be a Q&A, town hall style meeting. Murphy and his staff obliged, and changed the format at a second event held later in the day.

The crowd "erupted in a chorus of boos and catcalls" when Murphy said he thought Obama was doing a "pretty great job." Murphy tried to keep the crowd cool, admonishing hecklers from time to time to be respectful.

Late late late update: Saturday was a red-letter day for these protesters. A group shouted the Pledge of Allegiance at Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) as he left a local Democratic Party picnic, where he had pushed for universal health care. Watch:

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Health Care, Kathleen Sebelius, Lloyd Doggett

Arlen Specter

Sestak Says Major Campaign Announcement Coming Tuesday

During the first week of the August congressional recess Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) will kick off a major series of events tomorrow with what the campaign is calling a 'major announcement' tomorrow morning in Folsom, PA.

As first reported by TPMDC, Sestak began raising money for a Senate campaign in May, telling supporters at the time that he intended to challenge Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) in the Democratic Senate primary in Pennsylvania. Since then he's raised a significant amount of money, toured his entire state, and doubled down on his criticisms of his likely challenger. But he hasn't officially announced his candidacy. With an impressive haul in the second quarter, though--and with polls showing an appetite for a challenger in Pennsylvania--that could change tomorrow.

Sestak will also appear in Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, and Scranton, as well as on The Colbert Report as part of his campaign push this week.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Specter: I've Been Perfectly Consistent On EFCA

Yes, that headline is accurate. In a letter to the editor of the Philadelphia Inquirer, Specter defends his record on the Employee Free Choice Act as "consistent."

"My views on this subject have been consistent," Specter writes, "and suggestions to the contrary by those intending to run against me are incorrect."

The last half of this sentence is a jab at Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA), who's made an issue of Specter's unreliability. But the first half could raise the hackles of labor supporters, who might have noticed that Specter once cosponsored EFCA, then, under attack from the right, said he would support a filibuster of it, then switched parties and told a crowd of organizers that they'd be "satisfied" with his vote on the issue, though he still opposes card check.

As the good folks of PA2010 point out, Specter may have consistent, secretly held views. But his political positions have varied pretty wildly.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, EFCA, Joe Sestak, Labor, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Specter To Address Icy Audience At Netroots Nation

Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) is probably the last person you'd expect to see courting the affections of the Netroots. The freshly minted Democrat has long been one of the progressive movement's most reviled betes noir. But next month, he'll address a large crowd of activists and bloggers at the annual Netroots Nation...at a forum that will also feature his rival--and burgeoning Netroots star--Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA).

Each participant will be featured on stage separately and sit with the moderators for a question and answer session. The participants will be offered an opportunity to make brief opening remarks after which the moderators will engage them in questions of their sole choosing. The forum will solicit questions online in advance, from Pennsylvania voters and other interested citizens, and the moderators will exercise editorial judgment and discretion in selecting official topics and questions for the event. In addition, there may be some questions will be taken live from the audience at the forum, time permitting. Participants will then be given the opportunity to make closing remarks.

The two men have rallied voters at the same event before--but this is the first time the two will be courting a national progressive base. In June, the two addressed a crowd of union organizers in Pennsylvania, and, later the same month, a crowd of Pennsylvania-based health care and union organizers in Washington, DC.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

Poll: Specter In Dead Heat With Toomey For 2010 General Election

A new Quinnipiac poll shows Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) in a dead heat with Republican former Rep. Pat Toomey, whose challenge against Specter in the Republican primary triggered Specter's party switch a few months ago.

The numbers: Specter 45%, Toomey 44%, with a ±2.9% margin of error. Back in May, shortly after he'd become a Democrat, Specter had a much better lead of 46%-37%. When Toomey is pitted against Specter's Dem primary challenger, Rep. Joe Sestak, Toomey has a lead of 39%-35%, with high undecideds because both candidates lack heavy name recognition.

In the Democratic primary, Specter currently leads Sestak by 55%-23%.

Only 40% of voters say Specter deserves another term, to 49% who say he does not. From the pollster's analysis: "Voters see Sen. Specter much less favorably than they once did and are net negative about giving him a sixth term in the U.S. Senate. Independent voters have shifted narrowly to Toomey 46 - 42 percent and say 53 - 35 percent that Specter does not deserve reelection."

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate '10

Jim DeMint

TPMDC Morning Roundup

DeMint Stands By "Waterloo" Comment Against Obama: "We've Got To Stop His Politics"
Appearing this morning on the Today show, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) refused to take back his statement that Republicans can make health care policy into President Obama's "Waterloo," and that it will "break" him. When asked whether he stood by it, DeMint responded: "It's not personal. We've got to stop his politics."

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will meet with Treasury Sec. Tim Geithner at 11 a.m. ET. At 2 p.m. ET, he will have an expanded meeting with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, and a one-on-one meeting with Maliki at 2:45 p.m. ET. AT 3 p.m. ET, the two will hold a joint press availability. At 8 p.m. ET, Obama will hold a news conference.

Read more »

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Barack Obama, Health Care, Hillary Clinton, Jim DeMint, Joe Biden, PA-SEN, Senate '10

Joe Sestak

Sestak Spokesman Responds To Rendell: "People Are Looking For Leaders Of Conviction, Not Convenience"

Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) is firing back at Gov. Ed Rendell, who has called upon him to drop his primary challenge against Sen. Arlen Specter. Sestak's spokesman gave a statement to Greg Sargent, casting Sestak as the underdog taking on the establishment:

Joe Sestak has great respect for Governor Rendell -- but we have to ask ourselves, what would happen if our leaders only stood up to challenges when the odds were in their favor? That isn't the spirit that created this nation, led Barack Obama to the Oval Office, or allowed Ed Rendell to become Governor of Pennsylvania when everyone said a Mayor of Philadelphia could never win.

What will happen if only those from what the establishment deems "safe seats" are advised to run for higher office? Where will the audacity come from, if not from those who have demonstrated the ability to galvanize a constituency against the odds? Political calculation is not what put the Democrats in power, and it isn't what's going to keep us there. The people are looking for leaders of conviction, not convenience.

The people of Pennsylvania don't want to hear that someone won't face a challenge because it will be too difficult. We should demand more from our leaders.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Senate '10

Arlen Specter

As PA-Dem Primary Fight Heats Up, Republican Toomey Weighs In Against Specter

Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Rep. Joe Sestak (D-PA) are officially trading blows in the opening rounds of what promises to be a bruising primary fight over Specter's Senate seat. And now conservative Pat Toomey, the winner's likely general-election opponent, is weighing in...against Specter.

This comes via pa2010, which concludes that Toomey "still considers Senator Arlen Specter to be his eventual general election opponent."

That's a perfectly plausible interpretation. But, as always, politics can be a hall of mirrors, and this is just as likely a sign that Toomey wants Specter to lose the primary, because he thinks he'd have an easier time defeating Sestak in the general.

Whatever the logic here, though, it should be perfectly clear, if it wasn't already, that Specter will be contending with his abrupt party switch and mad dash from right to left for the duration of his candidacy.

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Topics: Arlen Specter, Joe Sestak, PA-SEN, Pat Toomey, Senate, Senate '10

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