TPMDC
Kirsten Gillibrand: January 2010

Kirsten Gillibrand

Gillbrand: If Harold Ford Were At The State Of The Union, He Would Sit On The Republican Side


A post by Twitter by Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY).

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), who is facing a challenge in the Democratic primary by former Rep. Harold Ford (D-TN), is already using tonight's State of the Union address to take a shot at her rival.

Gillibrand posted this on Twitter: "Looking forward to the #SOTU tonight. If HF were here, he would probably be sitting on the Republican side."

The really funny part about all of this is that when Gillibrand was appointed to the Senate a year ago, the conventional wisdom was that she would face a Democratic primary challenge on the grounds that she allegedly wasn't progressive enough. But since then, one potential liberal challenger after another has bowed out of the race, thanks in part to pressure from the White House and the Democratic establishment. And her new challenger, Ford, is a former chairman of the Democratic Leadership Council, who talked up his pro-life, pro-gun and anti-gay marriage credentials when he ran for Senate in Tennessee back in 2006.

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Topics: 2010 elections, Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, State Of The Union

Harold Ford

Poll: Harold Ford Gets 10 Percent, Running As Indy In NY-SEN


Former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D)

A new Rasmussen poll of New York looks at how former Rep. Harold Ford (D-TN) might do if he ran against appointed Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand in the general election, as an independent, rather than challenging her in the Dem primary. The answer is that he wouldn't get very far -- but Gillibrand wouldn't walk away with the contest itself, with a potential split in the Democratic vote.

The numbers: Gillibrand 39%, an unnamed generic Republican candidate 34%, and Ford 10%. It doesn't appear that Rasmussen polled a two-way general election between Gillibrand and Ford, or Gillibrand against a generic Republican. Rasmussen had to use a generic Republican precisely because there is no GOP candidate right now, and the party's recruiting efforts have kept coming up short. (We'll see whether the Republican victory in Massachusetts gets anybody interested in this race.)

From the pollster's analysis: "Unlike in many other states, the national health care plan proposed by President Obama and congressional Democrats is less of a factor in Republicans' favor in New York. Forty-eight percent (48%) of Empire State voters favor the plan, while 49% oppose it. Those numbers include 26% who Strongly Favor it and 38% who Strongly Oppose, again a narrower gap than is found in most states and nationally."

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Topics: 2010 elections, Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Senate '10

Kirsten Gillibrand

Poll: Gillibrand Starts Potential Primary Way Ahead Of Ford


Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) and former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D)

A new Rasmussen poll of the New York Democratic primary gives appointed Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand a big lead against her apparent likely challenger, former Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford.

The numbers: Gillibrand 48%, Ford 23%.

Nevertheless, the pollster's analysis points that out that the electorate's opinion is not fixed. Gillibrand has a 59% favorable rating, with 27% unfavorable, but with only 8% very favorable and 13% very unfavorable. Ford's numbers show even less of a solid opinion than there is for Gillibrand, with only 36% favorable and 30% unfavorable, including 11% very favorable and 9% very unfavorable.

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Topics: 2010 elections, Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Polls, Senate '10

Roundup

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Today: The Massachusetts Special Senate Election
Today is the special election for Senate in Massachusetts. Republican Scott Brown is widely viewed as the frontrunner to pick up the Senate seat formerly held for 47 years by Democratic icon Ted Kennedy -- which would deprive Democrats of their 60-seat supermajority -- with Democrat Martha Coakley hoping for the state's Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts to put her over the finish line. The polls will close at 8 p.m. ET.

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will receive the presidential daily briefing at 9 a.m. ET. Obama and Secretary of Education Arne Duncan will hold a discussion with sixth grade students at 10 a.m. ET, at the Graham Road Elementary School in Virginia, and Obama will deliver remarks at 10:25 a.m. ET on the "Race to the Top" program. Obama will meet at 11:30 a.m. ET with Sen. George Voinovich (R-OH), in the Oval Office. He will have lunch with Vice President Biden at 12:30 p.m. ET. He will receive the economic daily briefing at 1:30 p.m. ET, and meet at 4:25 p.m. ET with senior advisers.

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Topics: Afghanistan, Arne Duncan, Barack Obama, Eric Cantor, Harold Ford, Health Care, Joe Biden, Kirsten Gillibrand, MA-SEN, Martha Coakley, NY-SEN, Robert Gates, Roundup, Scott Brown

NY-SEN

Poll: Gillibrand Beats Ford, But Ford's Got A Chance To Catch Her


Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) and former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D)

A new Marist poll on the New York Senate race has good news for both Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and the man actively considering challenging her for the Democratic nomination this year, former Tennessee Rep. Harold Ford, Jr.

Among Democratic voters surveyed, Gillibrand leads Ford in a hypothetical matchup 43-24. It's a sizable lead for the less-than-popular Gillibrand, who Marist found has just a 31% approval rating among Democrats in New York. A full third of surveyed Democrats are undecided in the race, however, leaving Ford a lot of room to move up should he decide to run for the nomination.

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Topics: Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Polls

Peter King

Peter King Not Running For Senate...Again


Rep. Peter King (R-NY)

Rep. Peter King (R-NY), who had been courted by Republicans to run for the Senate against appointed Democratic incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, has announced that he will not run.

King had previously announced in August 2009 that he wouldn't run, but a week ago he left the door open again to a possible run. However, King has now withdrawn his name from consideration again, citing the importance of his work on the House Homeland Security Committee.

In his statement, King said: "While the political situation has changed dramatically in the Republicans' favor since September and I believe that Sen. Gillibrand can and will be defeated in 2010, I will not be a candidate for the Senate." While King might say Gillibrand will be defeated, his own withdrawal has the GOP running out of big names for this race, especially since Rudy Giuliani has also decided not to run.

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Topics: 2010 elections, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Peter King, Senate '10

Harold Ford

Harold Ford Now Supports Gay Marriage


Former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D)

Former Rep. Harold Ford (D-TN), who is gearing up to challenge appointed Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand in the New York Democratic primary, has announced that he now supports gay marriage.

Appearing on the Today show, Ford pointed out that he'd previously supported civil unions. "My support for fairness and equality existed long before I moved to New York," Ford said. This is certainly a change for Ford. Back when he was in Congress, he voted in favor of amending the U.S. Constitution to ban gay marriage nationwide.

Matt Lauer asked Ford if this was a major change for him. "Maybe in the language," said Ford. "But I'm a believer that benefits should flow to same sex partners and if indeed the fiction of the language, the title, should be changed, much like Chuck Schumer who changed his mind on it and Bill Clinton's evolved, I'm of the opinion now that nothing is wrong with that."

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Topics: 2010 elections, Gay Marriage, Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Senate '10

Harold Ford

Ford And Gillibrand Jousting Begins


Former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D)

So what exactly is going on with former Rep. Harold Ford (D-TN)? Ford ran unsuccessfully for Senator from Tennessee in 2006, and is now getting ready to challenge appointed Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, in the Democratic primary in Ford's new home state of New York. The attacks between the two camps have already begun.

As Ben Smith reports, Ford has started staffing up for a run, signing up campaign aides that worked for New York's Republican-turned-independent Mayor Mike Bloomberg. "Harold is not going to be bullied or intimidated. It's good for New York to have a dialogue. It's good to have credible candidates exploring this race. So what are they so afraid of?" said a statement from Ford spokesman Davidson Goldin. "Let's be clear: New York needs a senator who will fight for jobs fight to improve our economy, fight for small business and have the independence to stand up and do what's right for our state, regardless of what the party bosses in Albany or Washington want."

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Topics: 2010 elections, Harold Ford, Kirsten Gillibrand, NY-SEN, Senate '10

Roundup

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Gates Staying On At Least Through End Of 2010
Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, who was originally appointed by then-President George W. Bush but has been kept on by President Obama, has agreed to stay on at least through the end of 2010. "They agreed to revisit this issue again later this year," said Pentagon spokesman Geoff Morrell, who also said that the commitment remains open-ended.

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will receive the presidential daily briefing at 9:30 a.m. ET, meet with senior advisers at 10 a.m. ET, and receive the economic daily briefing at 10:30 a.m. ET. He will meet at 11 a.m. ET with Secretary of the Treasury Tim Geithner, and at 11:45 a.m. ET with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. He will make a statement to the press at 2:40 p.m. ET.

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Topics: 2010 elections, Barack Obama, Chuck Schumer, Harold Ford, House '10, Kirsten Gillibrand, MA-SEN, Martha Coakley, Mary Landrieu, NY-SEN, Robert Gates, Roundup, Scott Brown, Senate '10

Roundup

TPMDC Morning Roundup

Dems To Scrap Conference Committee For Health Care Bill, Amend The Senate Bill In The House
House and Senate Democrats have agreed to bypass the conference committee process for the health care bill, in order to circumvent additional Republican delaying tactics. Instead, the House of Representatives will pass agreed-upon amendments to the Senate version, and then send the bill back to the Senate for a final vote.

Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama and Vice President Biden will receive the presidential daily briefing at 9:45 a.m. ET, and the economic daily briefing at 10:15 a.m. ET. Obama will meet with senior advisers at 11:30 a.m. ET. Obama will deliver remarks at 1:35 p.m. ET, honoring educators for awards received for excellence in mathematics and science teaching and mentoring.

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Topics: 2010 elections, Barack Obama, Harold Ford, Jenny Sanford, Kirsten Gillibrand, Lindsey Graham, Mark Sanford, NY-SEN, Nancy Pelosi, Roundup

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