NH-SEN

Ayotte And Hodes Trade Personal Attacks At First NH-SEN Debate (VIDEO)

Jillian Rayfield | October 11, 2010, 5:57PM

NH-SEN candidates Kelly Ayotte (R) and Paul Hodes (D)

In a debate that got moderately tense earlier on Monday, New Hampshire senatorial candidates Kelly Ayotte and Paul Hodes mostly focused on jobs and taxes, but managed to get in a few personal attacks along the way.

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2010 elections

Release The Chamber: Biz Group Goes On The Air In Key Senate Races (VIDEO)

Evan McMorris-Santoro | September 21, 2010, 1:29PM

U.S. Chamber of Commerce CEO Tom Donohue

The U.S. Chamber Of Commerce is dropping a flurry of TV ads in key Senate races across the country as we step into the final weeks of 2010 election season. The group has pledged $75 million in spending this cycle -- and if the first $2 million is any judge, most of that money is going to help Republicans.

Via the AP:

[The Chamber] has the biggest footprint, spending $1 million in Florida against Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running for the Senate as an independent. The chamber has endorsed the Republican candidate, Marco Rubio. The chamber is spending $500,000 in Kentucky against Democrat Jack Conway. The chamber this week endorsed Republican Rand Paul, and it is spending about $300,000 in New Hampshire against Senate Democratic candidate Paul Hodes and $250,000 in Colorado against Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet.

Not all of the Chamber's support is going to the GOP however. Just today, the Chamber announced it's backing Gov. Joe Manchin (D-WV) in the special election to fill the late Robert Byrd's Senate seat. No word yet on whether the group will buy pro-Manchin ads, but some recent polling shows the governor may need the help.

Here now are a sample of the Chamber's all-negative, all pro-GOP TV ads up across the country at the moment:

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American Crossroads

Rove-Backed Group Attacks Hodes For 'Fiscal Conservative' Claim (VIDEO)

Jillian Rayfield | September 21, 2010, 11:36AM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH)

A new ad by Karl Rove-backed outside group American Crossroads attacks New Hampshire Senate nominee Rep. Paul Hodes (D) for calling himself a "fiscal conservative" in a recent ad.

"Hodes voted for the pork-filled stimulus bill," the American Crossroads ad says. "$1.9 million to study ants in Africa. $39 million for office upgrades for politicians. Billions wasted and unemployment still higher."

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Kelly Ayotte

Dem Paul Hodes In NH-SEN TV Ad: I'm A 'Fiscal Conservative'

Jillian Rayfield | September 17, 2010, 5:50PM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH)

Democratic New Hampshire senatorial candidate Paul Hodes has an interesting way of describing himself in a recent TV ad: "You deserve a senator," he says, "who's a real fiscal conservative."

The TPM Poll Average gives Hodes' Republican opponent Kelly Ayotte a lead of 48.7%-41.0%.

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NH-SEN

Rasmussen Poll: Ayotte Leads Hodes by 7 Points In NH-SEN

Eric Kleefeld | September 16, 2010, 12:14PM

NH-SEN candidates Kelly Ayotte (R) and Paul Hodes (D)

The new Rasmussen poll of the New Hampshire Senate race gives Republican former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, who just narrowly won her primary this past Tuesday, a seven-point lead over Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes.

The numbers: Ayotte 51%, Hodes 44%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.5% margin of error. In the previous Rasmussen poll from early August, Ayotte led Hodes by 51%-38%.

The TPM Poll Average gives Ayotte a lead of 48.7%-41.0%.

NH-SEN

PPP Poll: Ayotte Leads Hodes By 4 Points In NH-SEN Race

Eric Kleefeld | September 15, 2010, 4:02PM

NH-SEN candidates Kelly Ayotte (R) and Paul Hodes (D)

Some new poll numbers for the New Hampshire Senate race from Public Policy Polling (D), conducted over the weekend before yesterday's primary, show Republican former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte starting the general election with a small lead over Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes.

The numbers: Ayotte 47%, Hodes 43%. The survey of likely voters has a ±2.2% margin of error. In the previous PPP survey from mid-July -- which used a more permissive and Dem-friendly registered voter screen -- Ayotte led Hodes by a similar 45%-42% margin. The TPM Poll Average gives Ayotte a lead of 48.0%-40.0%.

Interestingly, the poll also shows that Ayotte's opponent that she very narrowly defeated in the Republican primary, Ovide Lamontagne, would not have had any significant difference in electability against Hodes. In this survey, Lamontagne leads Hodes by 47%-44%.

Kelly Ayotte

Kelly Ayotte Declared Winner Of NH Senate Republican Primary

Jillian Rayfield | September 15, 2010, 1:27PM

Kelly Ayotte

After an extremely close race, former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte has won the Republican nomination for senator in New Hampshire, the secretary of state has announced. Ayotte leads tea party-backed Ovide Lamontagne by little more than 1,600 votes.

Lamontagne had shown signs of a surge in the past few weeks, and the closeness of the results may mean that he could possibly call for a recount.

If the results stand, Ayotte will face Rep. Paul Hodes (D) in the general election.

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NH-SEN

Report: Final Result Coming Soon In NH-SEN Republican Primary

Eric Kleefeld | September 15, 2010, 12:48PM

The New Hampshire Republican Senate primary is still too close to call -- but might not be for long, the Union Leader reports, with a result possibly coming soon. As of right now, establishment-backed Kelly Ayotte has a very narrow lead over Tea Party-backed candidate Ovide Lamontagne.

Deputy Secretary of State David Scanlan told the paper that his office is getting close to a final result. "There are some numbers we want to double-check," said Scanlon.

With 90% of precincts reporting, Ayotte has a slim edge of 38%-37%, with a raw vote lead of just 1,120 votes.

NH-SEN

GOP Primary In New Hampshire Too Close To Call

Jillian Rayfield | September 15, 2010, 8:53AM

Update at 9:52 AM ET: With 85% of precincts reporting, Ayotte is now ahead 979 votes.

The Republican primary in New Hampshire has come down to former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte and Tea Party-backed Ovide LaMontagne, and the results are still too close to call.

With 83% of precincts reporting, Ayotte is ahead 38%-37%, which amounts to less than 1,000 votes.

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2010 elections

Tonight's Primaries: The Last Big Election Night Before November

Eric Kleefeld | September 14, 2010, 5:58PM

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate Christine O'Donnell

Tonight marks the last major night of the 2010 primary season. And what a wild and wacky season it's been -- and could still prove to be tonight.

This is the last multi-state primary night this year. After tonight, the only one primary left is Hawaii's this Saturday.

So let's take a look at some of tonight's races. There are Tea Party insurgents against establishment GOP moderates, Dems fighting it out to keep their jobs, and a whole lot of fun throughout.

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Kelly Ayotte

Magellan Poll: Ayotte Only Leading Lamontagne By Four Points In NH-SEN Primary

Jillian Rayfield | September 13, 2010, 5:01PM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

More bad news for Kelly Ayotte: A Magellan poll released today shows the Republican establishment's preferred New Hampshire Senate candidate only leading her primary opponent Ovide Lamontagne 35%-31% ahead of tomorrow's primary.

LaMontagne, the Tea Party favorite, has been gaining some ground on the establishment-backed Ayotte over the past few weeks. The previous Magellan poll, from September 1, showed Ayotte leading Lamontagne 34-21. A PPP poll released today shows LaMontagne trailing Ayotte by seven points.

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Kelly Ayotte

PPP Poll: LaMontagne Closing Gap Against Ayotte In NH-SEN Primary

Jillian Rayfield | September 13, 2010, 10:01AM

Former NH Attorney General and Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte (R)

The New Hampshire Republican Senate primary tomorrow is getting even tighter, with a new PPP poll showing Tea Party-backed Ovide LaMontagne only trailing frontrunner (and establishment pick) Kelly Ayotte by seven points.

LaMontagne has gained serious ground since the last PPP poll in July, when he was trailing Ayotte by a whopping 39 points.

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Bill Binnie

NH-SEN Candidate Binnie: My Pro-Choice Stance Led To Death Threats

Jillian Rayfield | September 9, 2010, 3:16PM

Bill Binnie (R), candidate for US Senate in New Hampshire

Bill Binnie, a candidate in the Republican primary for senate in New Hampshire, has addressed rumors that he had received death threats over his pro-choice stance on abortion, telling the Conway Daily Sun: "Why am I being attacked by these outside groups? Do you think their motivation is anything other than that? Look who is attacking me, it's a real issue. I think (Thursday) we got over 1,000 pieces of mail to my home, 1,000. We don't answer our phone anymore.

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NH-SEN

Is Kelly Ayotte In Trouble In The NH-SEN Republican Primary?

Jillian Rayfield | September 8, 2010, 8:46AM

Former NH Attorney General and Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte (R)

Former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte was sailing along in New Hampshire's Republican senate primary. She was way ahead of her Republican opponents -- and her potential Dem rival Rep. Paul Hodes -- in the polls, was backed by the establishment GOP, and was even counted among the ranks of Sarah Palin's "mama grizzlies" when the former half-term governor endorsed Ayotte back in July.

But somewhere between the primary in-fighting and concerns about Ayotte's conservative record, former state Board of Education chairman and Tea Party-backed candidate Ovide Lamontagne began to gain some ground.

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NH-SEN

Magellan Poll: Ayotte Leads NH-SEN Republican Primary -- Tea Party-Backed Lamontagne Gaining Ground

Eric Kleefeld | September 3, 2010, 4:21PM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

The new Magellan Strategies (R) poll of the New Hampshire Senate primary shows former state Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, the establishment choice for the GOP nomination, leading the wide-open field. But it's not a sure thing, with plenty of volatility in the numbers.

The numbers: Ayotte 34%, former state Board of Education chairman Ovide Lamontagne 21%, businessman Bill Binnie 17%, and businessman Jim Bender 13%. The survey of likely primary voters has a ±3.3% margin of error.

The previous Magellan poll from May had Ayotte at 38%, Binnie at 29%, Lamontagne at 9%, and Bender at only 4%. The TPM Poll Average has Ayotte at 36%, Binnie 23%, Lamontagne 15%, and Bender 8.5%.

The primary will be held on September 14.

2010 elections

Dems Hope That Delaware Republicans Follow Alaska's Lead

Christina Bellantoni | September 3, 2010, 7:51AM

Rand Paul (R-KY), Ken Buck (R-CO), Sharron Angle (R-NV), Joe Miller (R-AK), Kelly Ayotte (R-NH), Christine O'Donnell (R-DE)

"We have a chance to win this race friends!"

Those recent words from the Tea Party Express in an email to supporters following Delaware's Republican primary might strike fear in the hearts of Republicans, but they are giving Democrats a sliver of hope that this fall won't be a complete wipeout.

On Sept. 14, Delaware Republicans will head to the polls to choose between Rep. Mike Castle and tea party darling Christine O'Donnell. The winner will face Democrat Chris Coons in November for the open seat, currently held by a Democrat. Castle has long been considered the frontrunner and clear November favorite, so much so that there's almost no polling between O'Donnell and Coons. But Democrats say that they think she's easy to beat -- and Republicans in D.C. privately admit that her candidacy is deeply flawed and that they are rooting for Castle.

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Bill Binnie

NH-SEN Republican: 'English Is The Language Of America' -- And 'Even The Internet' (VIDEO)

Jillian Rayfield | August 12, 2010, 5:24PM

Bill Binnie (R), candidate for US Senate in New Hampshire

Bill Binnie, who is running in the Republican primary for senator of New Hampshire, put up a web video on his campaign website yesterday, promising that, if elected, he will make sure "all immigrants learn English." After all, he says, it's the "language of America," and "it's the language of international commerce, science, and even the internet."

Apparently Binnie has never seen the video of the Russian Trololo guy.

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NH-SEN

Ayotte Backs Repeal Of 14th Amendment's Birthright Citizenship Law (VIDEO)

Eric Kleefeld | August 9, 2010, 6:27PM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

Kelly Ayotte, a candidate for the Republican Senatorial nomination in New Hampshire, is now giving her support to amending the Constitution to get rid of birthright citizenship for the children of illegal immigrants.

On the bright side, though, she is saying we should of course be cautious about the whole thing, and says the best focus now is to secure the border.

As the Huffington Post reports, Ayotte told a voter who asked about the issue:

"Well, I know that there's a number of proposals that are being brought forward right now to look at that issue. And I think that we should. Because one of the issues is we have to, obviously, when we look at our Constitution, if we're going to propose any changes to it we have to be very thoughtful and careful about that because it's a great document. But that said, we have people who are coming here just to become, to get healthcare and then leave. And they're not even being part of our society and there's something wrong with that. But fundamentally, I think the best thing we can do right now is secure our borders, enforce our existing immigration laws and English is the language of our country."

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NH-SEN

Rasmussen Poll: GOPer Ayotte Leads Hodes By 13 In NH-SEN Race

Marc Kilstein | August 9, 2010, 10:40AM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

A new Rasmussen poll of the New Hampshire Senate race finds Republican Kelly Ayotte -- the front runner in the Republican primary -- with a 13-point lead over Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes, 51%-38%. The latest numbers show Hodes down six points to GOP hopeful Bill Binnie, 46%-40%.

Ayotte has held an advantage in the polls through the duration of the campaign. The last Rasmussen poll, conducted on July 12, showed her leading Hodes 49%-37%. In late July, a University of New Hampshire survey found similar results, with Ayotte on top 45%-37%. A PPP poll from July 25 showed a much closer contest, with the GOPer holding a slight 3-point lead -- a statistical tie, given the survey's ±3.26 margin of error -- but no other poll in the last few months has produced a similar result.

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NH-SEN

Ayotte: Binnie's FEC Complaint Against Me In NH-SEN Is 'Illogical'

Jillian Rayfield | August 5, 2010, 4:14PM

New Hampshire GOP Senate primary candidates Kelly Ayotte and Bill Binnie.

Bill Binnie, a Republican candidate for Senate in New Hampshire, has filed a complaint with the Federal Election Committee that alleges his Republican primary opponent Kelly Ayotte coordinated an attack ad against Binnie with a conservative group, in violation of FEC rules.

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NH-SEN

Kelly Ayotte Touts Execution Of Cop Killer In New Ads (VIDEO)

Thomas Rhiel | August 4, 2010, 3:18PM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

Kelly Ayotte, the frontrunner in New Hampshire's Republican Senate primary and a Sarah Palin-approved "Mama Grizzly," has two new TV ads out touting her record as a tough-on-crime state attorney general. The new spots -- one 60 seconds long, the other 30 seconds -- tell the story of Mike Briggs, a police officer shot and killed in the line of duty. It was Kelly Ayotte, the ads say, who brought Briggs's killer to justice by seeking the death penalty.

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NH-SEN

Poll: GOPer Ayotte Leads Dem Hodes By 8 In NH Senate Race

Thomas Rhiel | July 28, 2010, 6:50PM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH)

The University of New Hampshire is out with some new polling (PDF) of the state's Senate race, and the numbers still don't look all that good for Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes. The new poll shows Republican Kelly Ayotte -- the frontrunner in the GOP primary -- leading Hodes 45%-37% among likely voters. Bill Binnie, another possible contender for the Republican nomination, also leads Hodes 41%-38%.

Still, there is some good news here for the Democrat -- the poll does show Hodes gaining ground on his likely Republican opponent. The university's last survey -- from April -- showed Ayotte leading Hodes 47%-32%.

A PPP poll released yesterday showed an even tighter race, with Hodes down only three points against Ayotte.

The TPM Poll Average of the race shows Ayotte with a 47.2%-37.9% lead over Hodes. The TPM Poll Average shows Binnie ahead of Hodes 45.2%-39.1%. The margin of error for the latest University of New Hampshire is ±4.6 percentage points. The primary is September 14.

NH-SEN

PPP Poll: Ayotte Trouncing Rivals in GOP's NH-SEN Primary

Thomas Rhiel | July 28, 2010, 9:38AM

US Senate primary candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

A new PPP (D) survey of the New Hampshire Republican Senate primary finds Kelly Ayotte cruising in first with a huge lead over other would-be Republican nominees. The poll has Ayotte with 47%, rival Bill Binnie with 14%, and the other contenders mired in the single digits.

Ayotte's lead in this PPP poll is the largest she's had. A Magellan poll from late May gave Ayotte only a nine-point leader over Binnie, and a PPP poll from April put Ayotte's lead at 24 points.

The TPM Poll Average shows former state Attorney General Ayotte with a general election lead of 48.1-38.2 over Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes.

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NH-SEN

PPP Poll: Dem Rep. Paul Hodes (Just Barely) Trails Top GOPers In NH Senate Race

Thomas Rhiel | July 27, 2010, 12:26PM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH)

A new PPP (D) survey (PDF) of the New Hampshire Senate race shows Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes trailing both of his most likely Republican opponents -- but just barely. The survey found Republican Kelly Ayotte leading Hodes 45%-42% and Republican Bill Binnie ahead of Hodes 46%-41%.

The last PPP poll of the race -- from April -- showed Ayotte with a seven-point lead over Hodes, and Binnie with a five-point lead.

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NH-SEN

New Hodes TV Ad In NH-SEN: Kelly Ayotte 'Ducked Responsibility 44 Times' (VIDEO)

Jillian Rayfield | July 20, 2010, 3:28PM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D), who is running for senator in New Hampshire, released a new attack ad today against Republican candidate Kelly Ayotte, saying she "ducked responsibility 44 times" when it came to the Financial Resources Mortgage fraud investigation.

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Kelly Ayotte

Palin Endorses Kelly Ayotte For NH-SEN: She's A Granite State 'Mama Grizzly'

Jillian Rayfield | July 19, 2010, 4:46PM

Former Vice Presidential candidate Sarah Palin and Senate candidate Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)

Sarah Palin posted on her Facebook page today that she's endorsing former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte in the Republican Senate primary because she is a "Granite State 'mama grizzly' who has broken barriers."

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2010 elections

First-Quarter Fundraising Roundup -- Day One

Eric Kleefeld | April 1, 2010, 6:43PM

Fmr. Nevada GOP Chair Sue Lowden and Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)

Here are some of the latest pieces of fundraising news in races from across the country, as the first-quarter money results start to come in:

• Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), who is in danger of losing his seat this year, raised $1.5 million, and has over $10 million on hand.

• Former Nevada GOP Chair Sue Lowden, one of the candidates for the Republican nomination against Reid, raised $500,000. She has pledged to self-finance to match her individual donations, so this would bring in another $500,000 for a total of $1 million.

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NH-SEN

In New Hampshire, Hodes Squares Off With Chamber Over Health Care Reform

Evan McMorris-Santoro | March 12, 2010, 11:20AM

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH)

Rep. Paul Hodes (D-NH), who's trying to replace the retiring Sen. Judd Gregg (R) in the Senate next year, is squaring off against the business groups pushing back on Democratic efforts to finish up health care reform in the next few weeks.

Through the Chamber of Commerce, business groups are attacking the Democratic reform package in a nationwide ad campaign the Chamber says will costs between $4-$10 million dollars. In addition to the national spots, the Chamber is also targeting its ads at key members of Congress in key states where business leaders think they can influence Democratic lawmakers about to face voters at the ballot box.

Hodes is one of those members, and he's fighting back. "They can use all the fear tactics, false information and corporate money they want," he told TPM in a statement this morning. "I won't stop fighting for the middle-class families and small businesses in this state that need real reform now."

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Mitch McConnell

McConnell Takes Sides For Grayson, Ayotte In Key Senate Primaries

Eric Kleefeld | November 17, 2009, 2:59PM

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and KY-SEN candidate Trey Grayson (R)

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is taking sides in two key open-seat Republican primaries for Senate, Chris Cillizza reports, with an upcoming fundraiser for Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson and former New Hampshire Attorney General Kelly Ayotte.

Both of these candidates are in primary races. Grayson is being opposed by Rand Paul, an ophthalmologist and son of Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX), with similar small-government libertarian positions. Ayotte is running against businessmen Jim Bender and William Binnie, and former state Board of Education chairman Ovide Lamontagne.

In the Kentucky race, Rand Paul recently had a gaffe in which he failed to fully commit to supporting McConnell for Republican leader -- not the best move to make in McConnell's own state, where he is the biggest name in the state GOP.

Late Update: The Rand Paul campaign has given us this statement from the candidate:

After the primary, I will want to work with Senator McConnell. We will need each other. He and I agree on many issues such as the unconstitutionality of McCain-Feingold.

Until then, it would be unfair of me to to ask Grayson to compete on his own merits, all by himself. I think the only way we can be evenly matched is for him to have significant help from DC insiders, PACs, and special interest money.

Even then, it will likely not be enough. 2010 will be the year of the outsider. The Tea Party movement wants reform of government and they are embracing our message of Term Limits, Balanced Budgets, and the Read the Bills Act.

NH-SEN

NH GOP Chairman To National Party: Stay Out Of Our Senate Primary

Eric Kleefeld | October 14, 2009, 6:02PM

Frmr. Gov. John H. Sununu (R-NH)

Former New Hampshire Gov. John H. Sununu, who is currently the state GOP chairman, is strongly opposing the possibility of the national GOP endorsing former state Attorney Kelly Ayotte for Senate, the Nashua Telegraph reports.

"I hope the NRSC understands that New Hampshire doesn't really respond well to having candidates designated from outside the state," Sununu told the paper.

Ayotte faces a primary against two businessmen, Ovide Lamontagne and Sean Mahoney. And Sununu is prepared to play referee in the primary, saying it can help the party hold retiring GOP Sen. Judd Gregg's seat: "I'm just going to make sure it's a positive Republican primary with all the candidates focused on the shortcomings of the Democrats."

Late Update:: NRSC spokeswoman Amber Wilkerson Marchand gives us this comment: "The NRSC has not endorsed in this race, nor has an endorsement been sought."