collective bargaining

Poll: Majority Want Repeal Of Ohio Bill That Guts Collective Bargaining Rights

Jon Terbush | May 18, 2011, 3:17PM

Gov. John Kasich (R-OH)

Two months after Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) signed a sweeping rollback of public union's collective bargaining rights, voters there still overwhelmingly disapprove of their first-term governor, and a majority say the controversial law should be repealed, according to a Quinnipiac poll released today.

In the poll, 54% of registered voters said the collective bargaining law should be repealed, while 36% said it should not. And with the law potentially headed for a referendum in November, it looks like they may get their wish.

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John Kasich

Poll: Percent Of Ohio Voters Who Disapprove Of New Gov. Doubles

Jon Terbush | March 23, 2011, 12:52PM

Gov. John Kasich (R-OH)

Ohio Gov. John Kasich's first term in office is off to a rocky start. A new Quinnipiac poll shows that less than one third of registered voters approve of his job performance.

In the poll, just 30% of Ohio voters said they approved of Kasich's job performance, compared to 46% who said they disapproved. When Quinnipiac polled the state back in January, Kasich also posted a 30% approval rating. But at that time, just 22% of voters disapproved of his job performance, a number that has now more than doubled.

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John Kasich

Ohioans Having Incredible Buyers Remorse Over Gov. Kasich

Jon Terbush | March 15, 2011, 11:39AM

Former Rep. and current candidate for Governor John Kasich (R-OH)

Just a few months into his first term, Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) appears to be immensely unpopular with his constituents, a clear majority of whom disapprove of his job performance, according to a PPP poll of registered voters. What's more, if a do-over election were held today Kasich would lose -- by a resounding 15-point margin.

Kasich barely defeated incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland (D) last November, winning by a slim 49% to 47%. But if they could do it all over again, 55% of voters now say they would vote for Strickland, while only 40% say they'd go with Kasich.

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OH-GOV

Republican Kasich Knocks Off Dem Strickland In OH-GOV

Evan McMorris-Santoro | November 3, 2010, 12:03AM

John Kasich

Breaking: a strong conservative has defeated a Democratic incumbent in a swing state with high unemployment. According to the AP, John Kasich has become the latest Republican to play out the storyline of 2010 by defeating Gov. Ted Strickland in the Ohio gubernatorial race.

With 9.593 of 9,910 precincts reporting, Kasich leads 50.3%-47.3% and the AP and Fox News have called the race.

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OH-GOV

Fox News Poll Confirms Kasich's OH-GOV Advantage Heading Into Tomorrow

Evan McMorris-Santoro | November 1, 2010, 12:03PM

John Kasich

It's oh-so-close in the Ohio gubernatorial race, but yet another public poll out today shows Republican John Kasich with a slim advantage over incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland (D).

A Fox News robopoll -- conducted using methodology from Rasmussen Saturday -- shows Kasich head 48-44. That number confirms the Strickland momentum shown in other public polling, suggesting it could be a long night in Ohio tomorrow.

The last Fox News poll of the race, conducted on Oct. 23, showed Kasich ahead 47-43. Another Fox poll from Oct. 16 showed Kasich ahead 49-43.

The TPM Poll Average shows Kasich ahead 48.8-45.7.

OH-GOV

Ohio Poll Shows Ted Strickland Closing, But Not Enough To Win

Evan McMorris-Santoro | November 1, 2010, 11:25AM

OH Gov. Ted Strickland

A new round of the "Ohio Poll" from the University Of Cincinnati confirms incumbent Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland's (D) momentum against Republican John Kasich, but the pollster reports Strickland's surge is likely not enough to keep the Democrat in office for a second term.

The new survey, conducted among likely voters over the weekend, shows Kasich ahead 52-47. The last poll from the school, conducted in early October, showed Kasich ahead 51-43.

Despite Strickland's movement to close in on the Republican, the pollster "projects victories for Republican candidates" in both the Buckeye State's gubernatorial and Senate races.

The governor's race has become one of the most closely-watched of the final days of the 2010 campaign, with Democrats hoping Strickland can hold off Kasich despite the state's lagging economy and general malaise. A win in Ohio would be some good news for Democrats on a night many expect to be full of bad news for the party.

The TPM Poll Average shows Kasich ahead 48.9-45.9.

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OH-GOV

Dem Strickland Erases GOPer Kasich's Big Lead In Ohio Governor's Race

Brian Beutler | November 1, 2010, 9:47AM

John Kasich

A new Quinnipiac poll suggests Ohio Governor Ted Strickland has almost erased a once-significant gap over his GOP rival John Kasich.

The survey of 848 likely voters gives Kasich a narrow 47-46 lead over the incumbent Democrat. Compare that to the last Quinnipiac poll, conducted just over a week ago, which gave Kasich a significant 49-43 lead over Strickland, and it suggests rapid tightening in the days before the election.

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OH-GOV

Polls Show Late Surge For Strickland In OH-GOV, But Kasich Narrowly Ahead

Eric Kleefeld | October 31, 2010, 3:47PM

Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) and Gubernatorial candidate John Kasich (R-OH)

The Ohio gubernatorial race is tightening in the final days of the campaign, with incumbent Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland seriously cutting into the lead of Republican former Rep. John Kasich in two separate polls.

The new Columbus Dispatch mail-in poll gives Kasich 49%, Strickland 47%. The survey of likely voters has a ±2.3% margin of error. In the previous Dispatch poll from early September, Kasich led by 49%-37% -- meaning that Kasich's support has stayed the same, while Strickland has made an enormous net gain.

In Public Policy Polling's (D) survey, Kasich has 49% to Strickland's 48%. The survey of likely voters has a ±2.7% margin of error. In the previous PPP survey from late August, Kasich had a much stronger lead of 50%-40%.

The TPM Poll Average gives Kasich a lead of 48.1%-45.6%, but with some clear recent momentum to Strickland's blue line against Kasich's red one. Will it be enough to change the result?

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OH-GOV

Polls: GOPer Kasich Holds Lead In OH-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | October 28, 2010, 4:18PM

Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) and Gubernatorial candidate John Kasich (R-OH)

Two newly released polls on the Ohio gubernatorial race find Republican former Rep. John Kasich on top of Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland. A Rasmussen survey has the Republican leading 48%-44%, while a SurveyUSA poll has the contest favoring Kasich 49%-44%, with Libertarian Ken Matesz earning 3% and Green Party candidate Dennis Spisak polling at 1%.

When Rasmussen looked at this race two weeks ago, Kasich was on top 48%-45%, while SurveyUSA's last poll of the race from mid-September found him leading with 52% versus Strickland's 40%, Spisak's 3%, and Matesz's 2%.

The margin of error for both surveys is ±4.0 percentage points.

For more on the race, check out TPMDC's full coverage here.

NV-SEN

A Rundown Of Recount Laws In States With Close Statewide Elections

Brian Beutler and Elizabeth Harrison | October 25, 2010, 12:55PM

Workers recount ballots from the 2008 Minnesota Senate race.

It's been a grueling election season, but at least it will all be over next week.

Unless, of course, it's not. An unusual number of closely contested races means the chances are fairly high that one or more high-profile elections will end in a recount. With nearly 100 House seats in play, a recount could be triggered in just about every state. In Senate and gubernatorial elections, though, we have a better idea of where to watch -- i.e., which races are within the margin of error, or narrowing quickly.

Here's a rundown of recount rules in key states. Remember, control of the Senate could depend on this.

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AFSCME

AFSCME Hammers Republicans In New Set Of Ads (VIDEO)

Marc Kilstein | October 21, 2010, 3:03PM

American Federal of State, County & Municipal Employees ad, "Real People"

The American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) has rolled out a new series of ads, taking on Republican candidates from Colorado, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

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OH-GOV

Polls: GOPer Kasich Leads Dem Strickland In OH-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | October 19, 2010, 4:03PM

Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) and Gubernatorial candidate John Kasich (R-OH)

Two new polls are out today on the Ohio gubernatorial race, and Republican former Rep. John Kasich finds himself atop both. In a Quinnipiac poll, the Republican leads Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland by 10 points, 51%-41%. The margin is slightly narrower in the new Fox News Poll (conducted by Rasmussen offshoot Pulse Opinion Research), which has the incumbent Democrat trailing by six points, 49%-43%.

Both new sets of numbers show very little movement from these pollsters' last looks at the race: Fox News' October 9 poll had Kasich ahead 47%-42% and Quinnipiac's October 3 survey had him up 50%-41%.

The TPM Poll Average finds Kasich at 48.8% and Strickland at 43.0%.

The margin of error for the latest Quinnipiac and Fox News surveys are ±2.8 and ±3.0 percentage points, respectively.

For more on the race, check out TPMDC's full coverage here.

OH-GOV

Rasmussen Poll: Strickland Down Only 3 In OH-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | October 13, 2010, 11:30AM

Gov. Ted Strickland (D-OH)

A new Rasmussen poll of the Ohio gubernatorial race finds Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland well within striking distance of Republican former Rep. John Kasich.

The latest survey shows the incumbent governor behind 48%-45%-- within the survey's margin of error of ±4.0 percentage points. When Rasmussen took a look at the race on September 27, Kasich was ahead by a more significant eight-point margin, 50%-42%.

The TPM Poll Average still shows Kasich ahead in the contest 48.7%-42.5%.

OH-GOV

Tightening Race Makes For Snippy Final Debate In OH-GOV

Evan McMorris-Santoro | October 8, 2010, 11:06AM

John Kasich

The nominees for governor in Ohio met in their final debate of the race last night, and according to reports from the ground, the narrow gap in the polls made for some fireworks. Republican nominee John Kasich leads incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland (D) by a margin of 48.9-42.2 in the TPM Poll Average, but Democrats say the momentum is with them and predict they'll win in the end. Polls suggest that's something of a Pollyannaesque view of the situation, perhaps, but it seems the numbers were good enough to provoke some jabs from Strickland last night.

The chief issue is the economy, and that was the focus of much of the back-and-forth at the debate, the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.

"The free-fall has been stopped and all you and your friends want to do is just criticize and say no, no, no," Strickland said, addressing Kasich and attempting to tie him to national GOP rhetoric. "While we have been working here in Ohio to create jobs, you were working on Wall Street to outsource our jobs. I think the people of Ohio can tell the difference between the two of us."

Kasich's jabs came on the issue of tax increases, the subject all GOP pols likely fantasize about debating when they dream at night.

"You actually have been asleep at the wheel," Kasich said to Strickland, according to the Plain Dealer. "If you had come out of the box when you were elected governor and did what you promised, which was turn Ohio around, you would have created a government that is more effective and efficient and dealt with the tax situation."

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OH-GOV

Ohio GOPer Uses Actor To Portray Disgruntled Worker In GOV Ad (VIDEO)

Evan McMorris-Santoro | October 7, 2010, 8:59AM

From a Kasich campaign ad, "400,000."

Democrats in Ohio say that Republican gubernatorial nominee John Kasich can't find a single steelworker to back up his claim that blue collar-workers are upset at Gov. Ted Strickland's (D) administration. Yesterday, a C-list actor helped them make their case.

Meet Chip Redden, 818,906 on IMDB's STARmeter: journeyman actor, strip club aficionado and, apparently, the best approximation of a hard-hat wearing Ohio worker Kasich's money could buy.

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OH-GOV

Second Poll Shows Tight Race In OH-GOV

Evan McMorris-Santoro | September 28, 2010, 3:12PM

Gov. Ted Strickland (D-OH)

Rumors of Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland's political demise may have been greatly exaggerated. A new Fox News poll conducted by a Rasmussen firm over the weekend shows Strickland just two points behind Republican nominee John Kasich among likely voters.

Kasich leads 45-43 in the poll. Though Democrats generally shy away from both Fox News and Rasmussen, the combination of both seemed to please Strickland's camp, which sent out links to the poll earlier today. That's probably because the poll is the second to shoot down the truly awful poll numbers Strickland was facing just a couple weeks ago. Kasich seemed to be running away with the race. No longer, says Fox.

"Kasich's lead of six points last week was cut down to 2 points," the pollster reports, adding that Kasich "has run into some bumps."

Yesterday, a University of Cincinnati poll showed Strickland was down by just four points.

The TPM Poll Average shows Kasich leading the race 49.9-41.1.

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OH-GOV

Poll: Strickland Within Four In OH-GOV Race

Evan McMorris-Santoro | September 27, 2010, 3:40PM

Gov. Ted Strickland (D-OH)

The Ohio Senate race may be looking like a runaway for the GOP, but the Buckeye State's gubernatorial fight could still be interesting, according to a new poll from the University of Cincinnati out this weekend.

The poll of likely voters taken last week shows Republican nominee John Kasich leading incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland (D) 49-45. A previous poll taken by the university in May showed Strickland ahead 49-44. Since then, polls have shown Kasich with the momentum. Still, with other recent polls showing Kasich ahead by double-digits, Strickland seems to think the university poll -- which is co-sponsored by several newspapers in the state -- is cause for celebration.

"Clearly the race for governor is tightening up -- a contest which takes place as Ohio struggles to lift itself out of a severe economic downturn (unemployment stood at 10.1 percent in August) and a looming multi-billion dollar budget hole," the Cincinnati Enquirer reports. "But there is good news and bad news for the incumbent governor in the fact that the race is now close."

The paper quotes a pollster who says "the fact is, for an incumbent governor, it's a little bit late in the year to be under 50 percent support." For his part, Strickland seemed more than pleased by the numbers.

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OH-GOV

Trouble Brewing For Ohio Dems: Polls Show Major GOP Momentum In Key Races

Evan McMorris-Santoro | September 17, 2010, 8:45AM

Gov. Ted Strickland (D-OH)

The Republican nominees for Governor and Senator in the crucial presidential swing state of Ohio appear poised to run away with their respective races, according to the latest polls. The situation is not as dire for the Democratic nominee for Senate, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher, as it appears to be for Gov. Ted Strickland, who public polls suggest could be in free fall against his Republican opponent, former Rep. John Kasich. But neither Dems look to be in great shape.

Democrats on the ground in Ohio scoff at the notion that the situation is especially bad for their high-profile Democratic candidates, but the numbers really don't look good. And there's at least one report that national Democrats could be considering pulling up stakes in the Buckeye State and sending valuable resources elsewhere to shore up Democratic candidates with better chances in other states.

Publicly released polls of likely voters from Quinnipiac University, CNN/Time and SurveyUSA this week show Strickland down big against his Republican opponent. The TPM Poll Average shows Kasich ahead 50.0-40.9. (The average doesn't include the SurveyUSA poll which showed Kasich leading Strickland 52-40 on a general election ballot featuring Green and Libertarian nominees.) Trendlines show that Kasich is taking off like a rocket lately, while Strickland is actually losing support.

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OH-GOV

Quinnipiac Poll: GOPer Kasich Leads Big In OH-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | September 16, 2010, 12:37PM

John Kasich

A Quinnipiac poll out this morning finds Republican former Rep. John Kasich leading Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland by double-digits in Ohio's gubernatorial race.

The survey of likely voters has the Republican way out in front, with a commanding 17-point lead over the incumbent Strickland. The 54%-37% margin is by far the largest of any poll conducted for this race over recent months. Quinnipiac hasn't polled this race since late June, when it had Strickland on top of the race, 43%-38%. More recent polls have suggested everything's coming up Kasich -- a September 14 CNN/Time poll found Kasich ahead 51%-44%, a September 13 SurveyUSA poll gave the Republican a 52%-40% advantage, and a September 13 Rasmussen survey showed him up seven.

The margin of error of the Quinnipiac poll is ±3.6 percentage points. The TPM Poll Average has Kasich holding a 50.0%-40.9% advantage in the contest.

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OH-GOV

Fox News Poll: Kasich Ahead By 5 In OH-GOV

Howard Polikoff | September 14, 2010, 6:34PM

John Kasich

Fox News has released a poll of the Ohio gubernatorial race showing Republican John Kasich ahead of Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland 48%-43%.

The five-point Kasich lead is the smallest the race has been since July. There is no prior Fox News poll of this race, but this poll was conducted through an offshoot of Rasmussen, Pulse Opinion Research. The last Rasmussen poll, from Aug. 30, showed Kasich up 52%-40%.

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OH-GOV

Rasmussen Poll: GOPer Kasich Increases Lead In OH-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | August 18, 2010, 11:12AM

Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) and Gubernatorial candidate John Kasich (R-OH)

A Rasmussen poll released this morning shows former Rep. John Kasich leading Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland by double-digits in Ohio's gubernatorial race.

The new survey shows a 10-point lead for Kasich, 52%-42%, which is the largest lead the Republican has had over the last few months of polling. The survey includes leaners' preferential candidate, which was determined through a follow-up question posed to those who did not initially indicate support for either nominee. Kasich leads by 8 points, 48%-40%, on respondents' initial preference. An August 2 Rasmussen poll found a much narrower gap between the two candidates, with Kasich only up 3 points, 45%-42%.

The TPM Poll Average has Kasich ahead in the contest, 46.6%-42.2%. The margin of error of the latest Rasmussen poll is ±4 percentage points.

For more on the race, check out TPMDC's full coverage here.