
As any political pundit worth his or her salt will tell you, you can't win the presidency as a Republican, Democratic, Whig or Bull Moose party member without winning the state of Ohio. Right now, President Barack Obama leads all GOP challengers there.
The quintessential swing state has done just that over the last two cycles, with Democrats making gains in 2006 and 2008 and Republicans taking some back 2010. In 2006, the Goverorship went Democratic for the first time in sixteen years, and incumbent GOP Sen. Mike DeWine lost his re-election bid in the wake of former Gov. Bob Taft (R) becoming the first Ohio Chief Executive to be convicted of a crime. In 2008, President Obama took the state by well over 200,000 votes.
Progressive Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) may have a harder time getting reelected than some observers thought. Ohio state Treasurer Josh Mandel (R), a 33 year-old Iraq War vet and former state Representative in his first year of statewide elected office, raised $2.34 million in the last fundraising quarter, significantly more than the $1.5 million Brown hauled in between April and June.
Brown still has an impressive $3.5 million cash on hand for his reelection bid, and Mandel still has a Republican primary to deal with. In fact, Mandel has not yet made an official campaign announcement, though he's been raising money for a Senate races and gathering up endorsements for months.
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