Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) made an interesting move in a series of unilaterally-imposed budget cuts, the Star-Tribune reports, by suspending a tax-refund program that partially reimbursed small political donations -- and, it turns out, was benefitting the state Republicans much more than the Democrats.
The program gave taxpayers a $50 refund if they made a political donation of at least that amount. State records show that donors to Republicans were claiming $2.9 million in these refunds, compared to only $1.1 million in refunds claimed by Democratic donors.
Give Pawlenty some points for consistency. It appears that he isn't just against public financing of campaigns when it helps the Democrats. He's against it when it helps Republicans, too.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new poll of Minnesota by St. Cloud State University finds that Gov. Tim Pawlenty, a potential Republican candidate for president in 2012, would lose his Democratic-leaning home state to President Obama if the election were held today.
The numbers: Obama 49%, Pawlenty 40%, with a ±5% margin of error.
In 2008, Obama beat John McCain in Minnesota by 54%-44%. As the Star-Tribune notes, Pawlenty received less than 50% of the vote in each of his two elections as governor. He won 44% of the vote in a three-way race in 2002, and in 2006 he narrowly edged out his Democratic opponent by a 47%-46% margin.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (7) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)A new CBS poll finds that Americans overwhelmingly don't want Sarah Palin to run for president -- and furthermore, even conservatives don't want her in the race.
Respondents were asked: "Would you like Sarah Palin to run for president in 2012?"
The top-line numbers: Only 24% would like Palin to run, compared to 66% who don't want her to run. Broken down by party identification, among Republicans it's 44%-48%, with Democrats 9%-83%, and among independents 26%-62%.
And among self-identified conservatives, only 41% said yes, to 50% who said no. Palin's only bright spot was white evangelicals, who favored a run by a narrow margin of 48%-42%.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (27) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)For all her 2012 denials, former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is sure sounding like a presidential candidate in her fundraising emails.
Palin (R) asks supporters for up to $5,000 in donations, and anything over $100 gets a free, signed copy of "Going Rogue."
She says Ronald Reagan "showed us the way" and "charted the course for us," and goes on to quote C.S. Lewis:
C. S. Lewis once wrote: "We all want progress, but if you are on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road." We need to get back on the right road. In order to progress, we must return to our founding principles of limited government, fiscal responsibility, and strong national defense.
Palin says she'll help commonsense candidates "regardless of party" and asks for fundraising help with a peppy message:
"We won't let anyone tell us to sit down and shut up. We're going to stand up, stand together, and fight for what's right!"
Palin's full email after the jump.
A new ABC/Washington Post poll finds that Americans still do not like Sarah Palin, who is kicking off her Going Rogue book tour with a taped interview airing today on the Oprah Winfrey show.
The poll finds that a majority of Americans, 52% of respondents, have an unfavorable opinion of her, compared to only 43% favorable.
In addition, respondents were asked this question: "Regardless of whether or not you'd vote for her, do you think Palin is or is not qualified to serve as president?" The numbers: qualified 38%, not qualified 60%.
In addition, 53% say they would definitely not vote for her. Only 9% would definitely vote for her, and 37% would consider it (those people are likely Republicans and GOP-leaners who want to see all the options).
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (30) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)A new Rasmussen poll of Minnesota, where Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty is widely seen as a potential presidential candidate, finds that a plurality of likely voters in the state would not vote for him.
Respondents were asked: "Suppose Governor Tim Pawlenty runs for President in 2012 and wins the Republican nomination. If Pawlenty was the Republican Presidential candidate, would you vote for him?"
The numbers: Yes 42%, No 46%, with a ±3% margin of error. The poll also has Pawlenty's approval rating as governor at 52%, with 47% disapproval.
Minnesota has not voted Republican for president since the 1972 Nixon landslide. In 2008, it voted for Barack Obama by a 54%-44% margin.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (13) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)RNC Ends Coverage Of Abortion In Its Employee Health Plans
The Republican National Committee has told its insurance company to remove coverage of abortion from the RNC's standard health insurance policy for its employees, following a Politico story revealing the policy that has existed since 1991. "Money from our loyal donors should not be used for this purpose," RNC Chairman Michael Steele said in a statement. "I don't know why this policy existed in the past, but it will not exist under my administration. Consider this issue settled."
Obama's Day In Japan
President Obama arrived in Tokyo, Japan, at 4:15 p.m. ET local time (2:15 a.m. ET). He held a bilateral meeting with Prime Minister Hatoyama at 6:50 p.m. local time, an expanded meeting at 7:10 p.m. They held a joint press conference at 8:20 p.m., and dinner at 8:45 p.m.
Remember the mess that was Florida, Michigan and the earliest Iowa caucus in history?
Turns out some of the complications were orchestrated by the Obama campaign.
In his new book "The Audacity to Win" Obama campaign manager David Plouffe confesses they tried to "box in" Clinton after the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws Committee decided to strip Florida and Michigan of their delegates as punishment for holding primaries earlier than allowed. (In the end, it all worked out, but it caused complete chaos for months as the primary dragged on.)
Plouffe writes:
"Emboldened by the drift of the rules committee, we took it to the next level. I asked Steve Hildebrand to go on a secret diplomatic mission to speak with the four early-state party chairs, encouraging them to ask all the candidates to sign a pledge stating they would not campaign in any states (Florida and Michigan) that had violated the rules and were threatening the approved early states' primacy.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (40) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)Yes, this was in our self-interest. But it was also in theirs. If these two big states were penalized as severely as possible, and we all committed not to campaign in them, then the role of the early states was protected with no ambiguity."
Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), a potential presidential candidate, will soon be visiting the major primary state of New Hampshire, the Union Leader reports.
Pawlenty will be the keynote speaker at a December 16 fundraiser for the New Hampshire GOP's state Senate campaign PAC. Tickets will be $50, an amount that was set in order to be affordable and "to attract people from all across the state," said local GOP strategist Michael Dennehy, who is advising the PAC.
Dennehy said that Pawlenty "would be a good, new fresh face for Republicans in New Hampshire to meet and to help raise money for the Republican cause."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Obama Calls For Revision In Stupak Amendment
President Obama said yesterday that the Stupak Amendment should be revised, in the hopes that neither pro-choicers nor pro-lifers feel "betrayed" by any change in the status quo. "I want to make sure that the provision that emerges meets that test," said Obama, "that we are not in some way sneaking in funding for abortions, but, on the other hand, that we're not restricting women's insurance choices."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama and the First Lady will depart the White House at 9:05 a.m. ET, arriving in Killeen, Texas, at 12:25 p.m. ET. They will meet at 12:50 p.m. ET with families of the fallen at Fort Hood, and with wounded soldiers and their families at 1:20 p.m. ET. President Obama will address the Fort Hood community at 2 p.m. ET. They will meet with wounded soldiers at 3:25 p.m. ET, and depart from Killeen at 4:20 p.m. ET. They will arrive back at the White House at 8:35 p.m. ET.
Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin accused Democratic leaders of trying to "ram" the health care bill through Congress over the weekend and said voters should "look closely" because death panels remain in the legislation.
Palin took to Facebook a few hours after the late-night vote to tell her nearly 1 million supporters the bill was "disastrous" for the economy but they should "hold on to hope."
"We've got to hold on to hope, and we've got to fight hard because Congressional action tonight just put America on a path toward an unrecognizable country," Palin wrote. "The same government leaders that got us into the mortgage business and the car business are now getting us into the health care business."
Palin, who used her Facebook feed to further the phony death panel meme earlier this year, brought it up again:
We had been told there were no "death panels" in the bill either. But look closely at the provision mandating bureaucratic panels that will be calling the shots regarding who will receive government health care.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (93) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) spoke to the Iowa Republican Party last night, and thanked God for his blessings in life.
"Thank you, Lord, for my red-hot, smokin' wife," said Pawlenty -- a quote from the movie Talladega Nights, a Will Ferrell comedy about an idiotic NASCAR driver.
"I think she appreciates that line. I talked to her about it and she's OK with it," Pawlenty later told a reporter. "She knows it's in fun. I mean it sincerely, I think she is hot."
Late Update: Here's the video:
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (49) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (2)Obama Praises Heroism At Fort Hood
In this weekend's YouTube address, President Obama discussed the shooting at Fort Hood, and paid tribute to the heroism of both military and civilian personnel at the base:
"And yet, even as we saw the worst of human nature on full display, we also saw the best of America," said Obama. "We saw soldiers and civilians alike rushing to aid fallen comrades; tearing off bullet-riddled clothes to treat the injured; using blouses as tourniquets; taking down the shooter even as they bore wounds themselves. We saw soldiers bringing to bear on our own soil the skills they had been trained to use abroad; skills that been honed through years of determined effort for one purpose and one purpose only: to protect and defend the United States of America."
Barbour: New Jersey And Virginia Elections Show America Rejecting The Democrats
In this weekend's Republican address, Gov. Haley Barbour (R-MS) claimed that this past Tuesday's gubernatorial elections represent a rejection of President Obama's and the Democrats' agenda:
"This week also saw the first big elections since this administration and its Democrat Majority in Congress took control of our federal government. The results made clear the American people don't like where the Democrats are trying to take our country," said Barbour. "Virginia and New Jersey elected new governors Tuesday, and in both cases, voters chose Republican governors to succeed the Democrats elected four years ago. Both are states that President Obama carried by large margins last year."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (6) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty issued a statement on Bob McDonnell's (R-VA) win in Virginia tonight:
"I want to send my congratulations to Bob, Maureen and their family. Bob ran a positive campaign based on the conservative principles of fiscal responsibility and low taxes. Virginians embraced his conservative message, rejecting more taxes, card-check and spending that would hurt economic growth and job creation. I'm especially proud of the RGA's historic role in supporting Bob's effort, and look forward to working with the Governor-Elect next year."PERMALINK | COMMENTS (4) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
Hillary: U.S. Opposes Israeli Settlements
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is meeting today with several Arab foreign ministers, in an effort to restart peace talks between the Israelis and Palestinians. Clinton reiterated the administration's opposition to continued Israeli settlements: "Successive American administrations of both parties have opposed Israel's settlement policy. That is absolutely a fact, and the Obama administration's position on settlements is clear, unequivocal and it has not changed."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will have his daily briefing at 10 a.m. Et. He will meet at 11:10 a.m. ET with the President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board. He will meet at 2 p.m. ET with Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt. He will meet at 3 p.m. ET with senior advisers.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) is lending his 2012 hopeful self to the National Republican Senatorial Committee, sending out a letter to NRSC's mailing list touting his upcoming speech next month.
He'll be speaking at the NRSC fall meeting, held Nov. 16 and Nov. 17. One donor will be chosen to attend the meeting, Pawlenty wrote to NRSC supporters.
"I look forward to sharing the message of Freedom First with supporters from across America who are helping us rebuild our conservative ranks in 2010," Pawlenty wrote in the email, obtained by TPMDC.
Full email after the jump.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (0) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), a potential presidential candidate in 2012, has now endorsed Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman in the NY-23 special election -- passing over his party's actual nominee, moderate Republican Dede Scozzafava.
Pawlenty said in a statement given to Red State:
"We cannot send more politicians to Washington who wear the Republican jersey on the campaign trail, but then vote like Democrats in Congress on issues like card check and taxes. After reviewing the candidates' positions, I'm endorsing Doug Hoffman in New York's special election. Doug understands the federal government needs to quit spending so much, will vote against tax increases, and protect key values like the right to vote in private in union elections."
Pawlenty is the second possible GOP presidential candidate to pick the Conservative over the Republican, following Sarah Palin's endorsement of Hoffman late last week. Newt Gingrich has been vocally supporting Scozzafava, and catching a lot of flak on the right as a result.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (5) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), a potential president candidate, says that his state should opt out of the public option if given the chance.
"I don't know if we would opt out, but I personally would like to opt out because I don't like government-run health care," Pawlenty said.
This shouldn't be too much of a shocker, considering that Pawlenty had previously talked about invoking the Tenth Amendment and attempting to nullify health care reform at the state level. Really, being given permission by the federal government to opt out isn't much in comparison.
It's unlikely that Minnesota actually would opt out, due to its legislature being heavily Democratic. But hey, Pawlenty can dream. And he can court the national GOP base.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (11) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Minnesota Governor and expected 2012 presidential contender Tim Pawlenty (R) held his first D.C. fundraiser for his new PAC last night at a pub downtown. Pawlenty focused the event on young Republicans, and opened his address to the few hundred in the crowd with little taste of that rock-and-roll the kids are all talking about.
"Mick Jagger said in a song once, 'you can't always get what what you want. But if you try sometimes, you just might find, you get what you need," Pawlenty said. "For those of us who are Republicans and conservatives, we didn't get what we wanted in the 2008 election for president but we did get something that we needed. And that is a chance to ask 'what are the lessons from 2008 and 2006?'"
Pawlenty said the lesson he learned was that Republicans need to make new friends -- but keep the old ones, too. "I know a little about reaching out to people who are not yet Republicans," he said. "But I want to make sure as we move forward we don't get confused about diluting our principles and our values."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (18) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Mitt Romney seems to be casting himself as a somewhat reluctant possible presidential candidate, and not the ambitious politician that people usually think of -- declaring he's not immediately running for president, but that his eventual decision will be influenced in part by the job that he thinks President Obama is doing.
"I'm doing what's necessary, if you will, to keep options open," Romney told Milwaukee-based TV host Mike Gousha. Romney said that family concerns come first, of course, but so does the overall national situation and Obama's performance.
"Clearly, if President Obama happened to be doing a great job, as I had hoped he would do when he got elected, why, that would influence my thoughts," Romney said. "But instead, he's taken the country in a very dangerous direction, and that makes it far more likely that folks are gonna think about getting in and removing him from office."
(Via WisPolitics.)
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (17) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new Rasmussen poll suggests that Sarah Palin should not be viewed as a favorite for the Republican nomination in 2012, with her trailing both Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee by wide margins in head-to-head match-ups.
Romney leads Palin by 52%-37% among likely GOP primary voters, and Huckabee is ahead by 55%-35%.
The pollster's analysis also finds that Mitt Romney's Mormon religion is still a liability, with him losing to Palin by 14 points among evangelical Christians, while leading her among other Protestants, Catholics and other groups. By contrast, the former Southern Baptist minister Mike Huckabee leads Palin by 17 points among evangelicals.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (27) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), a potential candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, is set to boost his ultra-conservative credentials this weekend, putting in an appearance at the Western CPAC conference -- where he'll be in some pretty interesting company.
Tonight, for example, Pawlenty will be featured at a private VIP reception, which also include none other than Floyd Brown. For those of you who have not heard of him, Brown was the originator of the Willie Horton ad against Mike Dukakis in 1988, and currently runs the Web sites Expose Obama and the Impeach Obama Campaign, which warns: "how long should we sit back and permit Barack Hussein Obama to rip apart the fabric of this country before we take action?"
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (9) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)Obama Teaming Up With Bush 41, Promoting Volunteerism
President Obama is teaming up today with former President George H.W. Bush, to promote the cause of community service at Texas A&M University. The event at the conservative school will also be protested by the college chapter of the Young Conservatives of Texas. "I actually did get an invitation," said chapter chairman Justin Pullman, age 19, "but I had to decline due to our protest."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will depart from San Francisco at 12:35 p.m. ET, arriving in Houston at 3:55 p.m. ET. He will attend a Point of Light Forum at Texas A&M University, at 5:50 p.m. ET, hosted by former President George H.W. Bush. He will depart from Houston at 8:25 p.m. ET, arriving back at the White House at 11:15 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty is heading to Iowa in a key early test of his ability to build support among potential Republican caucus goers.
Pawlenty, who recently announced a new political action committee will be the "featured guest" at the Nov. 7 Leadership for Iowa event at the state fairgrounds.
Matt Strawn, Chairman of the Republican Party of Iowa, issued a release praising the Minnesotan as "innovative" and "conservative," and noted Pawlenty was known for balancing the state budget, reducing spending and enacting health care and education reform measures.
Pawlenty will be joined by Republican candidates for governor hoping to oust Democrat Chet Culver in 2010. Tickets are $25 per person and can be purchased here.
Late update: The Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party took a cue from the national Democrats who have been hammering Pawlenty as an absentee governor lately, and put out tongue-in-cheek statement.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)Echoing President Obama's "the time is now" call to action on health care reform, former Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) writes in his new book that those who argue Obama is trying to do too much, too fast, with too much money should ask themselves: "Can we afford to do nothing about a wasteful and inefficient health-care system that drains billions from our economy, weakens the competitiveness of thousands of businesses through excess costs and yet fails to deliver basic care to far too many of our citizens?"
Released today, "A Heart to Serve," is "not a political memoir," Frist tells fans on his Web site. But with its seeming embrace of Obama and health care reform, the book has thrust Frist back into the political arena.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (10) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (3)That famous infighting of the core McCain campaign versus Sarah Palin is still continuing, with former McCain campaign manager Steve Schmidt openly saying at the Atlantic's "First Draft of History" symposium that it would be "catastrophic" if Palin were to win the Republican nomination in 2012.
Schmidt said: "I think that she has talents, but you know, my honest view is that she would not be a winning candidate for the Republican Party in 2012, and in fact, were she to be the nominee, we could have a catastrophic election result."
It's sure been a long journey for Schmidt, as far as his attitudes on Palin are concerned. The Los Angeles Times reported in October 2008 that Schmidt himself pushed McCain into picking her. After Karl Rove said the pick was a campaign decision, and not a governing decision, Schmidt fired back: "Karl's wrong. She's an exceptional governor, a reform governor in Alaska."
But with the campaign long over -- and Palin's performance regarded as disastrous by everyone except her core fan-base -- Schmidt is sure singing a different tune.
Late Update: The transcription of Schmidt has been corrected slightly, based on the video.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (94) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)A very interesting name pops up on the management and strategy team for Gov. Tim Pawlenty's (R-MN) new political action committee, which is widely seen as a preliminary step for a presidential campaign: Sara Taylor, a former top aide to Karl Rove, who resigned her position during the U.S. Attorney scandal.
Taylor's testimony during the U.S. Attorney hearings sure was interesting. When confronted with the fact that she'd conducted official government business through a private RNC e-mail account, she explained that it was more "efficient" than using both the RNC e-mail and the government e-mail. In addition, Taylor refused to answer many questions, citing executive privilege, and for other questions said she couldn't recall the answers:"I can't remember what I had for breakfast last week."
But her single most famous moment was when Sen. Pat Leahy (D-VT) caught Taylor saying she made an oath to the President -- as opposed to saying she made an oath to the Constitution:
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)WaPo: Obama May Have To Seek GOP Support On Afghanistan
The Washington Post says that the emerging Democratic opposition to a heavily increased troop presence in Afghanistan could put President Obama in an awkward situation: "The emerging Democratic position could compel Obama, whose domestic agenda is facing stiff Republican criticism in Congress, to rely on those same opposition lawmakers for support if he decides to send more combat troops to Afghanistan."
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will deliver remarks at a 1:50 p.m. ET fundraiser for the Democratic Governors Association. He will meet at 3:30 p.m. ET with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and at 4 p.m. ET with Secretary of the Treasury Tim Geithner. He will depart form the White House at 6:35 p.m. ET, headed to Copenhagen, Denmark, to lobby for the 2016 Olympics to be held in Chicago.
New DNC Ad: Tell Republicans To "Stop The Lies" On Health Reform
The Democratic National Committee has a new ad on health care, attacking Republican leaders for "trying to scare seniors about health reform." The ad will air on national cable and in Washington, D.C.
"Tell Republicans: Stop the lies on health reform," the announcer says.
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will tour a laboratory at the National Institutes of Health at 10:25 a.m. ET, with Secretary of Health and Human Services Kathleen Sebelius. Obama will make a major announcement regarding the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act at 11 a.m. ET. He will sign the Arnold Palmer Gold Medal Act in the Oval Office at 1:30 p.m. ET, honoring the legendary golfer. At 3 p.m. ET, he will meet with his national security team on Afghanistan.
Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), who is widely seen as a potential presidential candidate in 2012, has now formed his own federal political action committee, called "Freedom First," which will allow him to raise money for other Republicans and to travel around the country -- but Pawlenty is denying that this is a step towards laying groundwork for a presidential campaign.
As the Star Tribune reports:
Pawlenty, who ended his state fundraising committee earlier this month, said the new PAC should not be seen as confirmation of his interest in running for president.PERMALINK | COMMENTS (14) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
"It is just the opposite," Pawlenty told the Star Tribune this morning. "This undertaking, as we plan it and envision it, would be to help other candidates on a federal level."
Values Voters Summit Begins Today, To Feature GOP Presidential Straw Poll
The Values Voters Summit is kicking off today in Washington, and will feature such conservative politicians as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC), Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN), and others. Most notably, the event will have a 2012 presidential straw poll, which will test the current appeal of various Republican politicians among religious right activists. The results of the straw poll will be announced on Saturday.
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama does not have any public events scheduled today. At 1 p.m. ET, he will have a closed-press meeting with recipients of the Secretary of Defense Employer Support Freedom Award.
Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN), a potential presidential candidate in 2012, has taken the bold step of ordering his state government to suspend and review all funding of ACORN -- a move sure to please the GOP base.
But here's the catch, according to the Star Tribune: ACORN says that they don't have any funding from the state of Minnesota. A spokesman for the group told the paper that ACORN has never received money from the state government, "and there's certainly not a dime to cut off right now."
Pawlenty's order to the state Management and Budget Commissioner ordered a halt to all ACORN funding "unless the state is legally obligated," and to conduct a "thorough" investigation into the state's relationship with ACORN.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (12) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)A new national survey from Public Policy Policy (D) finds President Obama leading four potential Republicans with, with Mike Huckabee currently polling as the strongest opponent -- and Sarah Palin as the weakest.
The numbers: Obama leads Huckabee 47%-44%; Obama is ahead of Newt Gingrich 49%-41%; Obama leads Mitt Romney 47%-40%; and Obama is ahead of Sarah Palin 52%-38%.
Huckabee also has the best personal ratings of the four tested Republicans, with 45% favorable to 28% unfavorable. Gingrich is at 33%-42%, Romney 37%-34%, and Palin 40%-49%.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (19) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
A new Marist poll has a mix of good news and bad news for Sarah Palin -- and unmitigated good news for Democrats. On the one hand, she remains a plausible candidate for the GOP nomination in 2012, but in a general election she would lose to President Obama in a landslide.
Among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents, the 2012 field stands at Mitt Romney 21%, Sarah Palin 20%, Mike Huckabee 19%, Newt Gingrich 10%, Bobby Jindal 5%, and Tim Pawlenty 1%. But in a general election, it's Obama 56%, Palin 33%.
Also, Palin's overall favorable rating is only 37%, with 43% unfavorable. But among Republicans, it's a whopping 73% favorable, to only 16% unfavorable.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (11) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)WaPo: Dems Boning Up On Health Care Bill
The Washington Post reports that House Democrats have gone through a five-hour meeting on the health care bill, in which they were briefed on the ins and outs of the 1,000-page bill section by section. "No one's going to say we haven't read the bill," said Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger (D-MD). After a cram session like this, they better ace their finals...
Obama's Day Ahead
President Obama will hold an 11:55 a.m. ET town hall meeting on health care reform in Raleigh, North Carolina. He will depart Raleigh at 2:45 p.m. ET, arriving in Bristol, Tennessee, at 3:40 p.m. ET. At 4:15 p.m. ET, he will hold another town hall on health care reform in Bristol, Virginia, with Kroger Supermarket employees. He will depart from Bristol at 6 p.m. ET, arriving back at the White House at 7:25 p.m. ET.
A new survey of Louisiana from Public Policy Polling (D) has some mixed news for Republican Gov. Bobby Jindal: A huge majority of Louisiana voters don't want him to run for President in 2012 -- but if he does run, he should expect to carry the state by a wide margin, anyway.
The numbers: Only 27% say he should run, to 61% against. Among Democrats this is 15%-78%, but even Republicans only favor it 43%-39%, and independents are against it 24%-62%.
However, Jindal would defeat President Obama for this red state's electoral votes, by a solid margin of 54%-40%. Sarah Palin would carry the state, too, leading Obama by 49%-42%.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (4) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
In a hypothetical 2012 general election contest between former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and President Obama, the vote would be tied at 45 percent each, according to a new Rasmussen phone survey.
Rasmussen tends to skew Republican. Conversely, a May survey by Democratic pollster Public Policy Polling had Romney losing to Obama, 35 to 53 percent.
Romney ended his last bid for the presidency in February 2008.
The new Rasmussen poll also said that in a 2012 matchup against Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, Obama would win 48 percent to 42 percent.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (30) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
Congressional Quarterly is reporting that two Republican congressmen, Eric Cantor of Virginia and Mike Pence of Indiana, could be looking to make a presidential run.
One of our favorite Cantor memories was when he missed one of President Obama's prime time press conferences on the economy. Where was the House minority whip? At a Britney Spears concert.
But Cantor's apparently fueling speculation by scheduling listening tours and raising money. He's added $637,000 to his PAC -- called Every Republican Is Crucial (or ERIC).
Just goes to show: In the new Republican Party, no one's too obscure or too weird to be considered presidential material.
A new survey of Minnesota from Public Policy Polling (D) has some tough news for Republican Gov. Tim Pawlenty, who is widely believed to be a potential presidential candidate for 2012. In his home state, where he is currently the two-term governor, he trails President Obama by a significant margin.
The numbers: Obama 51%, Pawlenty 40%, with a ±2.5% margin of error. This isn't all that different from the 54%-44% margin by which Obama defeated John McCain in Minnesota for the 2008 election.
Still, Pawlenty does better here than Sarah Palin: Obama leads her in this state by 56%-35%.
Obama's approval rating here is 54%, to a 39% disapproval, down from a 60%-30% score in April. From the pollster's analysis: "Barack Obama's popularity is declining as the economy continues to stagnate, but voters don't trust the Republican leaders either. It doesn't bode well for Tim Pawlenty's prospects nationally when he has such an uphill battle in his own state."
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (7) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (0)
We can now add another group to the list of people who don't think Sarah Palin's resignation as Governor of Alaska was a good move: Republican voters, according to a new Rasmussen poll.
The numbers: Of the likely Republican voters surveyed, only 24% think her resignation helps her chances for the Republican nomination in 2012, compared to 40% who say it's hurt her chances.
At the same time, 61% of Republican voters think it's somewhat likely or very likely that she will run, with only 29% saying it's not very likely or not likely at all.
When asked who they prefer, 25% of GOPers said Mitt Romney, 24% said Palin -- the same percentage who said her resignation is a plus, interestingly -- 22% chose Mike Huckabee, and 14% chose Newt Gingrich, with 1% each for Haley Barbour and Tim Pawlenty.
PERMALINK | COMMENTS (3) | RECOMMEND RECOMMEND (1)
TPM Stories Now Surging on Digg.com
