NV-GOV

GOPer Sandoval Hit With Allegations Of Hiring Illegal Immigrant (VIDEO)

Eric Kleefeld | October 12, 2010, 4:31PM

Nevada Gov. candidate Brian Sandoval (R)

Brian Sandoval, the Republican nominee for governor of Nevada, now has a new political headache on his hands: A woman from Guatemala who claims that she worked as a housekeeper for Sandoval and his wife years ago -- when she was an illegal immigrant.

As the local CBS affiliate in Las Vegas reports, on the claims being made by Ana Padilla:

She claims then-state Assemblyman Brian Sandoval's wife Kathleen hired her after Padilla handed out business cards in their neighborhood October 1996.

"The checks were signed by Mrs. Kathleen and the checks had Brian Sandoval and Kathleen Sandoval's name, address and phone," she said.

But Padilla has no documented proof of those checks. She claims she was told Bank of America only allows access to those records up to seven years. Padilla says she was paid $40 to clean the Sandoval house every Monday.

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NV-SEN

Poll: Angle Leads Reid By One In NV-SEN Race

Marc Kilstein | September 15, 2010, 6:01PM

US Senate candidate Sharron Angle (R-NV) and Senator Harry Reid (D-NV)

Over the last week, a flurry of polls of the Nevada Senate race have been released that tell a similar narrative -- Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and his Republican rival Sharron Angle are statistically deadlocked. A new CNN/Time poll released today finds one more batch of numbers that support the trend. Among likely voters, the survey shows Angle leading Reid 42%-41%, with Tea Party candidate Scott Ashijan earning 5%.

There is no previous CNN/Time poll for direct comparison. But no mainstream poll conducted over the last two months has produced an advantage for either candidate outside of its margin of error. Most recently, Rasmussen saw a 48%-48% tie in its September 13 survey, Ipsos gave Reid a slight 46%-44% edge in its September 12 poll, and Fox News' September 11 poll found Angle up 45%-44%.

Worth noting, when the CNN/Time poll surveyed the wider pool of all registered voters (instead of just likely voters), Reid led 42%-34%.

Though no recent poll has produced a noteworthy lead for Reid, the Democrat is still up in the TPM Poll Average, 47.3%-44.7%.

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NV-GOV

Rasmussen Poll: GOPer Sandoval Up 15 In NV-GOV Race

Marc Kilstein | August 19, 2010, 11:58AM

NV-GOV candidates Brian Sandoval (R) and Rory Reid (D)

A new Rasmussen poll of the Nevada gubernatorial race shows Republican nominee Brian Sandoval with a double-digit lead over Democratic nominee Rory Reid.

The latest survey finds Sandoval ahead 15 points, 55%-40%, when "leaners" are included in the results. On respondents' initial preference, Sandoval holds a 16-point lead, 52%-36%. A July 27 Rasmussen poll produced a slightly narrower 10-point advantage for the Republican candidate. In that survey, which did not include "leaners", Sandoval led Reid, 50%-40%. The Democrat has yet to poll within single digits of Sandoval.

The TPM Poll Average has Sandoval ahead in the contest, 52.5%-37.2%. The margin of error for the latest Rasmussen poll is ±4.0 percentage points.

For more on the race, check out TPMDC's full coverage here.

NV-GOV

Mason-Dixon Poll: Sandoval Leads Rory Reid By 16 In NV-GOV Race

Eric Kleefeld | August 16, 2010, 11:30AM

NV-GOV candidates Brian Sandoval (R) and Rory Reid (D)

The new Mason-Dixon poll of the Nevada gubernatorial race finds that Republican nominee Brian Sandoval continues to lead Democratic nominee Rory Reid by a big margin, though the lead has narrowed just slightly.

The numbers: Sandoval 52%, Rory Reid 36%. The survey of registered voters has a ±4% margin of error. In the previous Mason-Dixon poll from late July, Sandoval led by 50%-31%.

In the Senate race, the same batch of polling showed Rory Reid's father, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, leading Republican Sharron Angle by 43%-42% So clearly, there are voters who would pick Brian Sandoval, but are leery of the other Republican in the Senate race, where Angle has faced heat for her right-wing views and habit of avoiding the mainstream media. And on the other end, some voters who are picking Harry Reid are not going for Rory at this juncture.

The TPM Poll Average puts Sandoval ahead by 52.0%-36.4%.

2010 elections

Rasmussen Poll: Rory Reid Gaining On GOPer Sandoval In NV-GOV -- Lead Cut To 10

Thomas Rhiel | July 29, 2010, 5:03PM

NV-GOV candidates Brian Sandoval (R) and Rory Reid (D)

A new Rasmussen poll of the Nevada governor's race shows Republican Brian Sandoval 10 points ahead of Democrat Rory Reid, but Reid appears to be gaining some ground. Sandoval's 50%-40% lead is narrower than the commanding 21-point lead he had in Rasmussen's previous poll from July 12.

Other recent polls have shown Reid -- the son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who's also up for reelection in Nevada -- far behind Sandoval, a former federal judge. The last surveys of the contest from PPP and Mason-Dixon both showed Sandoval up 14 points.

The TPM Poll Average for the Nevada governor's race shows Sandoval with 53.4% and Reid with 36.9%. The margin of error for the latest Rasmussen survey is ±4.0 percentage points.

Check out TPMDC's full coverage of the race here.

NV-GOV

PPP Poll: Republican Sandoval Maintains Big Lead Over Rory Reid In NV-GOV Race

Thomas Rhiel | July 21, 2010, 4:33PM

NV-GOV candidates Brian Sandoval (R) and Rory Reid (D)

His father, the Senate Majority Leader, may be back on top in his Senate race against Sharron Angle (R), but Democratic Clark County Commission Chair Rory Reid is foundering in his campaign to become Nevada's next governor, a new poll suggests.

A PPP survey released today shows Republican Brian Sandoval, the former federal judge, with a commanding 14-point lead over Reid.

The poll has Sandoval with 52% and Reid with 38% of the vote. Those numbers are a bit tighter than those from the three most recent Rasmussen polls -- which had Sandoval's margin over Reid at more than 20 points -- but they nevertheless seem to spell trouble for Reid, whose favorable rating is only 34%, compared to Sandoval's 42%.

The TPM Poll Average gives Sandoval a lead of 54.5%-35.5%. The margin of error of the latest PPP survey is ±3.9 percentage points.

NV-GOV

Poll: GOPer Sandoval Leads Rory Reid For NV-GOV

Eric Kleefeld | June 11, 2010, 11:14AM

NV-GOV candidates Brian Sandoval (R) and Rory Reid (D)

The new Rasmussen poll of the Nevada gubernatorial race shows Republican Brian Sandoval, a former federal judge who easily defeated incumbent Gov. Jim Gibbons in the GOP primary, way ahead of Democratic Clark County Commission Chair Rory Reid, son of Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid.

The numbers: Sandoval 54%, Reid 31%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4.5% margin of error. This result in fact shows little movement from previous polls, before Sandoval's much-expected primary win over the scandal-plagued Gibbons. The previous Rasmussen poll, from all the way back in late March had Sandoval ahead 55%-34%. The TPM Poll Average has Sandoval ahead 52.3%-36.2%.

As we've previously noted, this race is quite unique, with a father and son appearing together on the same statewide ballot as the elder Reid simultaneously seeks re-election to his Senate seat. At the time I wrote the post in December, I asked various political experts whether they knew of a prior high-profile example. They did not -- this might actually be the first time in U.S. political history.

Harry Reid

Nevada Poll Looks Tough For 'Reid' -- Both Father And Son

Eric Kleefeld | December 8, 2009, 3:06PM

Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) and NV-GOV candidate Rory Reid.

The recent Mason-Dixon poll of Nevada finds that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid continues to be in trouble for his 2010 re-election bid -- and what's more, his son Rory, a Clark County (Las Vegas) commissioner, isn't polling well for his gubernatorial campaign, either.

The Senate race poll found Harry Reid trailing Republican Sue Lowden by 51%-41%, and trailing Republican Danny Tarkanian by 48%-42%. In the gubernatorial poll, Rory Reid trailed Republican frontrunner Brian Sandoval by 49%-34%, and came in third place in a potential three-way race involving Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman as an independent: Goodman 35%, Sandoval 32%, Rory Reid 24%.

To the best of my knowledge, this could be the first time ever that a father and son have been on a statewide ballot before, and it's a case of some very high-profile politicians, too. It does present some interesting potential ramifications -- that the two could end up rising or falling together.

"Harry Reid has always been kind of a cat on a hot tin roof here," said UNLV political science professor Ted G. Jelen, regarding the Senator's lackluster poll numbers, in an interview with TPM. "He's never been particularly comfortable. He has been winning elections, but it is a swing state, and it's also difficult to run in a swing state from a leadership position."

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NV-GOV

Harry Reid's Son Running For Governor of Nevada

Eric Kleefeld | October 15, 2009, 6:20PM

Clark County, Nevada, Commissioner Rory Reid (D)

Senate Majority Leader Harry's Reid's son, Clark County (Las Vegas) Commissioner Rory Reid, has officially declared that he is running for Governor of Nevada in 2010 -- the same year that his father is facing a tough re-election fight to the Senate.

Reid the Younger put himself forward as a policy wonk, laying out a policy roadmap for the state's future: "I'm going to challenge anyone else who wants this office to either agree with me or propose something different."